UC Irvine vs. Cal State-Northridge - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports
Cal State-Northridge Matadors (13-17) at UC Irvine Anteaters (21-10)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 4, 2020 at 10:00 pm (Bren Events Center)
The Line: UC Irvine Anteaters -12.5 -- Over/Under: 156 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The CSU Northridge Matadors (13-17, 8-6 BW) travel to Irvine, CA to take on the UC Irvine Anteaters (21-10, 13-2 BW) in a Big West Conference battle at the Donald Bren Events Center. The last time these two teams played on February 22, UC Irvine pummeled CSU Northridge 87-64 as 5 ½-point road favorites.
CSU Northridge is 6-4 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. CSU Northridge is 3-4 straight up and 4-3 against the spread in conference road games this year. CSU Northridge averages 72.5 points per game and allows 83 points per game in road games this season, and they have shot 44.4% from the field, 36.4% from 3 and 72.1% from the free-throw line in those contests.
CSU Northridge has sandwiched a couple of 2-game winning streaks around a 2-game losing streak in their last 6 games. CSU Northridge won their last game 99-92 against CS Fullerton as 5-point home favorites. CSU Northridge is ranked 241st by KenPom, with the 105th ranked offense and 335th ranked defense in the country. CSU Northridge is led by Sophomore forward Lamine Diane, who averages 25.5 points, 10.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, and Junior guard Terell Gomez, who averages 19.9 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game for the Matadors..
UC Irvine is 9-1 straight up but just 5-4-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. UC Irvine is 7-0 straight up and 4-2-1 against the spread in conference home games this season. UC Irvine has clobbered opponents on their home floor by more than 18 points a game, averaging 79.1 points per game and giving up 60.7 points per game in home games this year, and they have shot 48.9% from the field, 35.3% from 3 and 72.8% from the free-throw line in those games.
UC Irvine has won their last 6 consecutive games and 10 of their last 11. UC Irvine won their last game against UC Santa Barbara 69-58 as 7-point home favorites. UC Irvine is ranked 102nd by KenPom, with the 119th ranked offense and 96th ranked defense in the nation. UC Irvine has a balanced scoring attack with 4 players averaging double-digits, and they are led by Sophomore forward Collin Welp, who averages 13 points and 5.8 rebounds per game, and Senior guard Eyassu Worku, who averages 12.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4 assists per game for the Anteaters.
UC Irvine is 10-0 straight up but just 5-4-1 against the spread in their last 10 games against CSU Northridge, 6 of which went over the betting total. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 games for CSU Northridge, and the over is 5-5 in the last 10 for UC Irvine.
UC Irvine beat CSU Northridge by 23 the last time these teams played, and that was on the road, so I see no reason for this game to go any differently on Senior Night for UC Irvine. I’ll lay the points with by far the better team, so give me the Anteaters in this match-up.