Mississippi vs. Missouri - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports
Missouri Tigers (14-15) at Mississippi Rebels (14-15)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 4, 2020 at 9:00 pm (The Pavilion at Ole Miss)
The Line: Mississippi Rebels -4 -- Over/Under: 133 Click Here for the Latest Odds
TV: SEC Network Stream College Basketball all season on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The Missouri Tigers (14-15, 6-10 SEC) travel to Oxford, MS to take on the Mississippi Rebels (14-15, 5-11 SEC) in a Southeastern Conference battle at the Pavilion at Ole Miss. The last time these teams played, Mississippi lost to Missouri 68-71 as a 1-point road underdog.
Missouri is 5-5 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. Missouri is just 1-7 in conference road games this season and has gone 2-6 against the spread in those games. Missouri averages 60.8 points per game and allows 71.3 points per game in road games this year, and they have shot 37.3% from the field, 26.8% from 3 and 76.6% from the free-throw line in those games.
Missouri had won 3 of its last 4 before losing to Mississippi State 63-67 as a 1-point home underdog. Missouri is ranked 105th by KenPom, with the 150th ranked offense and 85th ranked defense in the country. Missouri is led by Junior guard Dru Smith, who averages 12.7 points, 4.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, and Sophomore guard Xavier Pinson, who averages 11 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game for the Tigers.
Mississippi is 4-6 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games. Mississippi is 4-4 in conference home games this year and has gone 6-2 against the spread in those games. Mississippi averages 76.7 points per game and surrenders 66.2 points per game in home games this season, and they have shot 48.7% from the field, 36% from 3 and 72.2% from the free-throw line in those games.
Mississippi had lost 4 consecutive games before getting off the schneid with a victory over lowly Vanderbilt 86-60 as 10 ½-point home favorites. Mississippi is ranked 92nd by KenPom, with the 141st ranked offense and the 68th ranked defense in the nation. Mississippi is led by Senior guard Breein Tyree, who averages 20.1 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, and Junior guard Devontae Shuler, who averages 11.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game for the Rebels.
Mississippi is 8-2 straight up and 4-5-1 against the spread in the last 10 matchups between these programs, 9 of which went over the betting total. The over is 6-4 in the last 10 games for both Mississippi and Missouri.
Missouri has been awful on the road this year and I don’t expect that to change in Oxford on Senior Night. Mississippi has been sputtering to the finish line but I think they have enough left in the clip to finish off Missouri and cover the spread, so I’ll lay the points with the Rebels.