Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

UTEP Miners (15-14) at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-22)

College Basketball: Wednesday, March 4, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Murphy Athletic Center)

The Line: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +2.5 -- Over/Under: 136 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Texas-El Paso Miners (15-14, 6-10 CUSA) travel to Murfreesboro, TN to face the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (7-22, 3-13 CUSA) in a Conference USA match-up at the Murphy Center. The last time these teams met on January 30, UTEP beat Middle Tennessee 67-66 as 10-point home favorites.

UTEP is 4-6 straight up and 3-5-2 against the spread in its last 10 games. UTEP is 1-6 in conference road games and 2-3-2 against the spread in those games. UTEP has scored 61.5 points per game and allowed 68.8 points per game in road games this season, and has shot 40.3% from the field, 25.9% from 3 and 76% from the free-throw line in those games. 

UTEP had lost 5 games in a row before winning its last two. In their last game, UTEP shut down Southern Mississippi 75-56 as 6 ½-point home favorites. UTEP is ranked 191st by KenPom, with the 275th ranked offense and 87th ranked defense in the country. UTEP is led by Senior forward Bryson Williams, who averages 18.2 points and 7 rebounds per game, and Junior guard Souley Boum, who averages 12.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game for the Miners.

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Middle Tennessee is 3-7 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. Middle Tennessee is a forgettable 1-6 in conference home games this season but has managed to go 3-4 against the spread in those games. Middle Tennessee averages the exact amount of points as they give up to opponents in home games this season and they have shot 43% from the field, 32.2% from 3 and 69.6% from the free-throw line in those games at the Murphy Center.

Middle Tennessee has lost 5 of their last 6 games and 17 of their last 20. Middle Tennessee lost their last game to Rice 66-77 as 6 ½-point road underdogs. Middle Tennessee is ranked 289th by KenPom, with the 242nd offense and 309th ranked defense in the nation. Middle Tennessee is led by Senior guard C.J. Jones, who averages 16.1 points and 2.7 rebounds per game, and Senior guard Antonio Green, who averages 12.9 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game.

Middle Tennessee is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games against UTEP. The under is 6-4 in the last 10 match-ups between these programs. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 games for UTEP and the over is 6-4 in the last 10 games for Middle Tennessee.

Middle Tennessee nearly beat UTEP in their last game in El Paso, and I think they can win this game at home outright. Give me the Blue Raiders.

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

Erik’s Pick Middle Tennessee +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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