Marist vs. Canisius - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Canisius Golden Griffins (10-19) at Marist Red Foxes (7-21)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 4, 2020 at 7:00 pm (McCann Center)
The Line: Marist Red Foxes +1 -- Over/Under: 129 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Canisius Golden Griffins (10-19, 5-13 MAAC) travel to Poughkeepsie, NY to take on the Marist Red Foxes (7-21, 6-13 MAAC) in a Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference battle at McCann Arena. The last time these teams met on February 2, Marist lost a close one to Canisius 65-66 as 6-point road underdogs.
Canisius is 2-8 straight up and 3-6-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. They are 2-7 in conference road games this season but have gone 4-3-2 against the spread in those games. On the road this season, Canisius has averaged 66.5 points per game and surrendered 70.4 points per game to opponents. Canisius shoots 41.6% from the field, 31.6% from 3 and 71.3% from the free-throw line in road contests this year.
Canisius has lost 6 of its last 7 and 9 of its last 11 games and they haven’t won a road game since January 12. Canisius lost a nail-biter to St. Peters 68-69 as 2-point home underdogs in their last game. Canisius is ranked 263rd by KenPom, with the 259th ranked offense and 254th ranked defense in the country. Canisius is led by Freshman guard Majesty Brandon, who averages 13.6 points and 4.1 rebounds per game, and Senior guard Malik Johnson, who averages 12.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 6 assists per game.
Marist is 3-7 straight up but 6-3-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. They are just 4-5 in conference home games this year, but have gone 6-2-1 against the spread in those games. Marist averages 63.5 points gives up 64.5 points to opponents at home this season, and they shoot just 39.1% from the field, 34% from 3 and 64.8% from the free-throw line in those games.
Marist has lost 6 of their last 7 games and was pummeled by Quinnipiac in their last game 52-71 as 4 ½-point road underdogs. Marist is ranked 314th by KenPom, with the 343rd ranked offense and 189th ranked defense in the nation. Marist is truly a score-by-committee team, with six players averaging between 8 and 9.2 points per game.
Canisius is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head matchups between these programs, but Marist has gone 5-5 against the spread in those games. The over is 5-5 in the last 10 games between these teams, and the over is 5-5 in the last 10 games for both Canisius and Marist.
Both of these teams have been bad, and the over/under is trending as evenly as it gets so I don’t see a good play there. I guess I’ll default to the home team in this match-up, but I wouldn’t be rushing to the counter to put any bets in on this one.