Air Force vs. Fresno State - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Air Force vs. Fresno State - 3/4/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Air Force Falcons (11-19) at Fresno State Bulldogs (11-18)

College Basketball: Wednesday, March 4, 2020 at 3:00 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)

The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs -4 -- Over/Under: 141.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Air Force Falcons (11-19, 5-13 CONF) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-18, 7-11 CONF) will meet on Wednesday, March 4th for the 1st Round of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. The game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV. 

Air Force is coming off an 87-74 road loss to Colorado State in their last game. Air Force has lost three of their last four games overall, including a 71-62 road loss to Fresno State on February 19th. Fresno State is coming off a 63-55 home win over Wyoming in their last game. Fresno State has won two of its last three games overall. This game will be played at a neutral site location. 

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Air Force scores 73.4 points per game on 45.4 percent field goal shooting this season. Air Force’s leading scorer and rebounder is F Lavelle Scottie, who scores 15.8 points per game and earns 5.7 rebounds per game. Air Force allows 74.8 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a -1.4 scoring differential so far this season. Air Force also earns 32.9 rebounds, 14.8 assists, 1.4 blocks, and 4.9 steals per game as a team. 

Fresno State scores 69.1 points per game on 41.8 percent field goal shooting this season. Fresno State’s leading scorer is F Orlando Robinson, who scores 12.5 points per game. The leading rebounder for Fresno State is F Nate Grimes, who earns 10.2 rebounds per game. Fresno State allows 68.7 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a -.4 scoring differential so far this season. Fresno State also earns 37.4 rebounds, 12.3 assists, 3.7 blocks, and 5.0 steals per game as a team. 

Air Force is 10-19 against the spread this season and a whopping 0-10 against the spread in their last ten games. Air Force is also 1-2 against the spread at neutral site locations so far this season. Fresno State is 11-16-1 against the spread this season and 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games. Fresno State is also 0-1 against the spread at neutral site locations so far this season.

Air Force is 0-10 against the spread in their last 10, so there is no way I can take them in this spot as the road dog. Also, Fresno State beating Air Force at home by nine not too long ago is another great reason for me to take Fresno State and lay the four points at home. 

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Ronald’s Pick Fresno State -4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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