Troy vs. Texas-Arlington - 3/3/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy vs. Texas-Arlington - 3/3/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

Texas-Arlington Mavericks (13-17) at Troy Trojans (9-21)

College Basketball: Tuesday, March 3, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Trojan Arena)

The Line: Troy Trojans +5.5 -- Over/Under: 138 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+ Stream College Basketball all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The UT-Arlington Mavericks (13-17, 9-10 SB) go on the road to Troy, AL to face off against the Troy Trojans (9-21, 5-14 SB) in a Sun Belt battle at Trojan Arena. The last time these teams met on March 2, 2019, Troy was defeated 66-79 as a 5-point home underdog.

In their last 10 games, UT-Arlington is 5-5 both straight up and against the spread. UT-Arlington is 4-5 straight up and 4-4-1 against the spread in conference road games this season. UT-Arlington averages 69.6 points per game and surrenders 70 points per game to opponents on the road. UT-Arlington shoots just 41% from the field and 30.4% from 3 on the road, but they do convert their free-throws at an excellent 78% clip in those games. 

UT-Arlington just concluded a 5-game homestand, going 3-2 in those games but losing the last two as favorites to Appalachian State and South Alabama. UT-Arlington is ranked 127th by KenPom, with the 185th ranked offense and 90th ranked defense in the nation. UT-Arlington is led by Sophomore guard David Azore, who averages 14.2 points per game, 5 rebounds per game and 3.7 assists per game, and Senior guard Brian Warren, who averages 12.6 points and 3.6 assists per game. 

Get Our Experts BEST BETS For All Of The Games CLICK HERE

Troy has lost 9 of its last 10 games and has gone just 2-7-1 against the spread in that stretch. Troy is 3-6 straight up and 3-5-1 against the spread in conference games at home this season. Troy averages 74.1 points per game and gives up 69.5 points per game to opponents in games played at Trojan Arena. Troy is shooting 41.7% from the field, 34.6% from 3 and 67% from the free-throw line in home games this year.

Troy has lost 3 consecutive home games by a combined 11 points and 3 consecutive road games by a combined 54 points. Troy lost its last game 63-78 as 9-point road underdogs to South Alabama. Troy is ranked 284th by KenPom, with the 290th ranked offense and 251st ranked defense in the country. Troy is led by Freshman guard Ty Gordon, who averages 12.4 points, 3 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, and Junior guard Darian Adams, who averages 12.1 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game.

UT-Arlington is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games against Troy. In those games, the under is 6-4. In the last 10 games for UT-Arlington, the under has gone 6-4, and the under is 5-5 in the last 10 games for Troy. 

Troy has been close in its last 3 home games, and after being clobbered in their last 3 road games, I think they’ll try their best to close out the season on a high note with a home victory. I don’t expect them to win the game outright, but they’ll keep it close enough to cover the spread.

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Free Parlay Mitch's NBA Basketball Parlay for 1/18/21 NBA Pick and Prediction

Guaranteed Packages

Guaranteed packages automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.