South Alabama vs. Texas State - 3/3/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports
Texas State Bobcats (20-10) at South Alabama Jaguars (19-11)
College Basketball: Tuesday, March 3, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Mitchell Center)
The Line: South Alabama Jaguars -1 -- Over/Under: 133.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN+ Stream College Basketball all season on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The Texas State Bobcats (20-10, 13-6 SB) travel to Mobile, AL to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (19-11, 12-7 SB) in a Sun Belt battle at the Michell Center. The last time these two teams met on March 15, 2019, Texas State defeated South Alabama 79-67 as 6 ½-point favorites in the conference tournament quarterfinals.
Texas State is 8-2 in their last 10 games and they have gone 6-4 against the spread in that stretch. Texas State is 5-4 in conference road games this season and has gone just 3-6 against the spread in those games. On the road this year, Texas State has averaged 69.6 points and surrendered 68.6 points to opponents, and has shot 43.1% from the field, an ugly 29.2% from 3 and 75.2% from the free-throw line.
Texas State is currently riding a 5-game winning streak, and won their last game 87-85 as 1 ½-point road underdogs to UT-Arlington. Texas State is ranked 93rd by KenPom with a balanced team which ranks 100th in offense in 92nd in defense. Texas State is led by standout Senior guard Nijal Pearson, who averages 19.2 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game for the Bobcats.
South Alabama has gone 7-3 in their last 10 games and is 5-4-1 against the spread during that stretch. South Alabama is just 5-4 in home conference games this season and has gone only 3-6 against the spread in those games. South Alabama has averaged 74.5 points and surrendered 66.9 points to opponents in home games this season, and they have shot 47.4% from the field, 36% from 3 and 73.8% from the free-throw line in those games.
South Alabama has won their last 7 games and won their previous game 78-63 as 11-point home favorites against Troy. South Alabama is ranked 163rd by KenPom, with the 133rd ranked offense and 217th ranked defense in the country. South Alabama has 4 players who average double-digit scoring and is led by Senior Forward Josh Ajayi, who averages 14.9 points and 7.4 rebounds per game for the Jaguars.
Texas State is 7-3 in the last 10 match-ups with South Alabama, both straight up and against the spread, and the over is 7-3 in those games as well. In their last 10 games, the over is 7-3 for South Alabama and 4-6 for Texas State.
South Alabama has played well at home this season, and they shoot much better at home than Texas State does on the road. I’ll lay the small chalk with South Alabama here on their Senior Night.