Louisiana-Monroe vs. Appalachian State - 3/3/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Appalachian State Mountaineers (16-14) at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (9-19)
College Basketball: Tuesday, March 3, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Fant-Ewing Coliseum)
The Line: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +1 -- Over/Under: 128 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers (16-14, 10-9 SB) travel to Monroe, LA to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (9-19, 5-14 SB) in a Sun Belt clash at Fant-Ewing Coliseum. The last time these two teams played March 12, 2019, Appalachian State defeated Louisiana-Monroe 89-80 as 7 ½-point home favorites.
Appalachian State is 6-4 straight up and 5-4-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. In conference games, Appalachian State is 5-4 straight up and 5-3-1 against the spread on the road. Appalachian State averages 67.7 points per game and surrenders 69.6 points per game in road games this season, and they are shooting 43.8% from the field, 32.2% from 3 and 65.3% from the free throw line in those games.
Appalachian State has alternated wins and losses in their last 6 games, and lost their last game to Coastal Carolina 77-84 as 4-point home favorites. Appalachian State is ranked 172nd by KenPom, with the 208th ranked offense and 130th ranked defense in the country. They are led by Junior guard Justin Forrest, who averages 17.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3 assists per game, and Senior forward Isaac Johnson, who averages 10.9 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game.
Louisiana-Monroe is 3-7 straight up and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games. In conference road games, Louisiana-Monroe is just 2-8 straight up and 3-6-1 against the spread. Louisiana-Monroe averages 69.9 points per game and gives up 65.8 points per game at home, and shoots 45.9% from the field, 37.1% from 3 and 70.9% from the free throw line in those games.
Louisiana-Monroe has gone 3-2 in their last 5 games following a 10-game mid-season losing streak, but lost their last game 63-79 as 11-point road underdogs to Arkansas-Little Rock. Louisiana-Monroe is ranked 249th by KenPom, with the 278th ranked offense and 214th ranked defense in the nation. They are led by Junior guard Michael Ertel, who averages 16.4 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, and Senior guard JD Williams, who averages 14.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game.
Louisiana-Monroe is 6-3 in their last 9 games against Appalachian State and is 5-4 against the spread in those games. The over is 5-4 in the last 9 games between these programs. The under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 games for Appalachian State and 5-5 in the last 10 games for Louisiana-Monroe.
This is a tough spot and I won’t be rushing to the window to bet it myself, but if forced to take a side I’ll just take the better team and lay the small chalk on the road with Appalachian State.