Hartford vs. Maine - 3/3/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Maine Black Bears (8-21) at Hartford Hawks (16-14)
College Basketball: Tuesday, March 3, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Chase Family Arena)
The Line: Hartford Hawks -7.5 -- Over/Under: 129 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Maine Black Bears (8-21, 4-11 AE) travel to Hartford, CT to face the Hartford Hawks (16-14, 9-6 AE) in an American East match-up at the Reich Family Pavilion. The last time these two teams met, Hartford defeated Maine 55-49 as a 3 ½-point road favorite.
Maine is just 2-8 in their last 10 games but has gone 4-6 against the spread in that stretch. Maine has struggled away from home this season, going just 2-14 on the road, but they’ve managed to go 7-9 against the spread in those games. Maine really struggles to score, averaging just 61.5 points per game, and they give up 69 points per game to opponents.
Maine had lost four straight before beating Maryland Baltimore-County 74-48 as 2 ½-point home underdogs. Maine is ranked 324th by KenPom, with the 332nd ranked offense and 283rd ranked defense in the country. Maine is led by 3 Seniors averaging double figures: forward Andrew Fleming averages 14.6 points per game and 6.3 rebounds per game, guard Sergio El Darwich averages 14.7 points per game, 5.3 rebounds per game and 4.1 assists per game, and forward Nedeljko Prijovic contributes 10 points per game and 5.5 rebounds per game.
Hartford is 6-4 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games. They haven’t been a dominant home team, going just 7-6 at home both straight up and against the spread. Hartford scores 65 points per game and gives up 66.3 points per game to opponents.
Hartford has played 3 straight games on the road, winning 2 of them, and is probably ready to finish their season on a high note at home. They are ranked 243rd by KenPom, with the 322nd ranked offense and 128th ranked defense in the nation. They are led by Senior guard Malik Ellison, who averages 18.7 points per game and 10.5 rebounds per game, and Sophomore forward Hunter Marks, who averages 10.5 points per game and 6.2 rebounds per game.
Hartford is 8-2 against Maine straight up in their last 10 games, and 2-1 against the spread in their last 3. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 games for Maine, and 8-2 in the last 10 games for Hartford. In the last 3 games between these programs, the over is 2-1.
Hartford is the better team this year, and Maine has been sputtering to the finish before winning big on Senior Night. Something tells me that was their Championship game for the season, and they won’t have that kind of effort Tuesday night at the Reich Family Pavilion.