Wisconsin-Milwaukee vs. Youngstown State - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports
Youngstown State Penguins (16-14) at Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (12-17)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 8:00 pm (UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena)
The Line: Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers -3 -- Over/Under: 144 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Youngstown State Penguins (16-14, 9-8 HL) travel to Milwaukee to take on the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (12-17, 7-10 HL) in a Horizon League clash. The last time these two teams met on January 23rd, Milwaukee upset Youngstown State in a close 75-73 game as a 3 ½-point road underdog.
Youngstown State is 5-4 since that loss to Milwaukee and 6-3 against the spread during that time. Youngstown State is just 1-5 in their last 6 road games and 2-4 against the spread in those games. Youngstown State is outscoring opponents by 2.4 points per game in their last 10 games, however, the Governors are being outscored by 9.0 points per game in their last 6 road games.
Youngstown State has struggled on the road this season, going 4-9 straight up and 5-8 against the spread. Youngstown State is ranked 231st by KenPom, with the 178th ranked offense and 297th ranked defense. They are led by Sophomore guard Darius Quisenberry, who averages 16.7 points per game, 3.7 rebounds per game and 4.1 assists per game with a 47.9 eFG%, and Junior forward Naz Bohannon, who averages 11.1 points per game and 8.8 rebounds per game with a 52.2 eFG%.
Milwaukee is just 2-7 straight up and against the spread since their upset win at Youngstown State. Milwaukee has lost 4 consecutive home games and is 1-5 in their last 6 at home, and is 2-4 against the spread in those games. Milwaukee has been outscored by 2.9 points per game in their last 10 games and has been outscored by 4.8 points per game in their last 4 home games.
Milwaukee is 8-7 SU at home this season and is a paltry 4-11 against the spread in those games. Milwaukee is ranked 257th by KenPom, with the 293rd ranked offense and 208th ranked defense in the nation. They are led by Senior guard Darius Roy, who averages 15.6 points per game, 4.3 rebounds per game and 3.1 assists per game with a 46.0 eFG%, and Senior guard Te’Jon Lucas, who averages 14.8 points per game, 4.4 rebounds per game and 5.1 assists per game with a 47.4 eFG%.
In their last 10 games against each other, the home team is 6-4 straight up and 4-6 against the spread. Milwaukee is 8-2 against the spread against Youngstown State during that span, going 3-1 against the spread at home. The over is 6-4 in the last 10 games for Milwaukee, with the last 5 consecutive games hitting the over, and the over is 7-3 in the last 10 games for Youngstown State.
Milwaukee has been too shaky to back at home this season, even as a slight underdog on Senior Night to a Youngstown State team that has been terrible against the number on the road lately. I’ll just play the recent trends and take the over in this match-up because I can’t figure out who is going to win for the life of me.