Wake Forest vs. Notre Dame - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (18-10) at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (12-15)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 4:00 pm (Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +2 -- Over/Under: 150 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (12-15, 5-12 ACC) host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (18-10, 9-8 ACC) in the Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Winston-Salem, NC. The last time these two teams met on January 29th, Notre Dame won 90-80 as a 9-point home favorite.
Notre Dame has gone 7-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games, getting clobbered by 34 at Duke but losing by just 1 point on the road to Florida State and Virginia. They’re 6-5 against the spread on the road this year and have been comfortable playing away from South Bend.
Notre Dame is ranked 58th by KenPom, with the 38th ranked offense and 111th ranked defense. They are led by Senior forward John Mooney, who averages 16.6 points per game and 12.6 rebounds per game with a 50.0 eFG%.
Wake Forest is coming off the best win of their season, coming from down 9 in the final 1:21 to force overtime and eventually beat a stunned Duke team. They’re 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games, and it’s tough to ignore the momentum a team can build from a win like the one Wake Forest just had.
Wake Forest is 8-6 against the spread at home this season and they are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games. Wake Forest is ranked 95th by KenPom, with the 70th ranked offense and 123rd ranked defense in the country. They are led by Senior guard Brandon Childress, who averages 15.1 points per game, 3.2 rebounds per game and 4.5 assists per game.
Notre Dame barely covered as 9-point favorites the first time these two teams met in a game that sailed over the total of 146. Notre Dame is 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games, and the over is 6-3-1 in Wake Forest’s last 10 games. The home team is 6-3 in the last 9 matchups between these teams, and Notre Dame is 6-3 against the spread in their last 9 games against Wake Forest.
I think Notre Dame is the better team, and I feel that Wake Forest is due for a letdown after an emotional win over Duke on Tuesday night. Something tells me the Demon Deacons won’t care if they lose this game to Notre Dame, even if it is senior night and their final home game of the season.