California vs. Utah - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports
Utah Runnin' Utes (15-13) at California Golden Bears (12-16)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 6:00 pm (Haas Pavilion)
The Line: California Golden Bears +1 -- Over/Under: 131 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Utah Utes (15-13, 6-10 PAC-12) travel to Berkley to face the California Golden Bears (12-16, 6-9 PAC-12) at Haas Pavilion. The last time these two teams met on February 8th, Utah clamped down on California defensively and won 60-45 as an 8 ½-point home favorite.
Utah is 4-6 and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games, but since beating California they are just 1-4 against the spread and 0-3 on the road. Utah is being outscored by 2.7 points per game in their last 10 games, and have been beaten by double digits 4 times.
Utah is 1-9 on the road this season and is an abysmal 2-8 against the spread in true road games. They’ve been formidable at home, but they’ve had to be with how poorly they’ve played on the road this year. Utah is a very balanced team, ranked 109th by KenPom with the 121st ranked offense and 120th ranked defense. They are led by Sophomore forward Timmy Allen, who averages 17.4 points per game and 7.3 rebounds per game with a 44.8 eFG%.
California is 4-6 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games, and they have covered the number in 3 of their last 4 games. California is being outscored by 5.3 points per game in their last 10 games, but that number is swollen by a 35-point loss to Washington. California usually catches big numbers, and lately they’ve been covering them.
California is as bad on the road as Utah is, but at home they’re 10-8 and 11-7 against the spread this season. California is ranked 179th by KenPom, with the 214th ranked offense and 140th ranked defense in the country. California is led by Sophomore guard Matt Bradley, who is averaging 17.4 points per game and 5.1 rebounds per game with a 52.0 eFG%.
In their last meeting, Utah held California to just 45 points and won by 15 points as an 8 ½-point favorite. The last 10 times these two teams played, the home team is 8-2 straight up and 6-4 against the spread. Utah is 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 meetings with California and is 2-1 against the spread in their last 3 road games at California.
California has rounded into shape the last month, and I will take the points with a home underdog that I definitely think can and will win outright in their final home game of the season on Senior Night.