Bradley vs. Loyola-Chicago - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports
Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (20-10) at Bradley Braves (20-10)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 2:00 pm (Carver Arena)
The Line: Bradley Braves -3 -- Over/Under: 131 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (20-10, 12-5 MVC) travel to Peoria, IL to face the Bradley Braves (20-10, 11-6 MVC) in a Missouri Valley Conference match-up at Carver Arena. The last time these two teams met on February 1st, Loyola-Chicago kept Bradley at arm’s length and won 62-51 as 5 ½-point home favorites.
Loyola-Chicago is 6-4 straight up and just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games. Loyola-Chicago is 1-4 straight up and 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 games on the road. Loyola-Chicago has been favored in 9 consecutive games, but has only outscored opponents by 0.3 points per game during that stretch.
Loyola-Chicago is just 6-7 on the road this season, and a putrid 3-10 against the spread. Even when they manage to eke out a road victory, the Ramblers rarely cover. Loyola-Chicago is ranked 101st by KenPom, with with 167th ranked offense and 69th ranked defense in the nation. Loyola-Chicago is led by Junior center Cameron Krutwig, who averages 15.2 points per game, 8.1 rebounds per game and 4.2 assists per game with a 57.4 eFG%.
Bradley is 6-4 straight up and only 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games. Bradley is 5-0 and 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 games at Carver Arena. Bradley has won 5 of their last 6 games, but has only managed to outscore opponents by 0.4 points per game in their previous 10 games.
Bradley has been very difficult to beat in Peoria this season, going 16-1 and 11-6 against the spread. They haven’t been covering the number as well lately, but Bradley’s only loss at home came against conference leader Northern Iowa. Bradley is ranked 117th by KenPom, with the 110th ranked offense and 134th ranked defense. They are led by Junior forward Elijah Childs, who is averaging 14.4 points per game and 8.7 rebounds per game with a 50.7 eFG%, and Senior guard Darrell Brown, who is averaging 14.7 points per game and 4.5 assists per game with a dismal 40.7 eFG%.
The home team is 7-1 in the last 8 games between these programs, with Loyola-Chicago going 5-3 against the spread in that span against Bradley. Bradley is 2-0 against the spread at home during that time against Loyola-Chicago, winning both games outright as an underdog. The over is 6-4 in the last 10 games for Loyola-Chicago, and 5-5 in the last 10 games for Bradley.
Loyola-Chicago has been the better team this season, but not by much. With that in mind, give me the home underdog and the points.