Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina - 2/29/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (14-15) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (16-13)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 4:30 pm (Holmes Convocation Center)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers -4.5 -- Over/Under: 146.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (14-15, 7-11 SB) travel to Boone, North Carolina to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (16-13, 10-8 SB) in a Sun Belt match-up. The last time these two programs faced off, Appalachian State beat Coastal Carolina 78-58 on January 25th as 6 ½-point road underdogs.
Since that defeat, Coastal Carolina is 3-5 against the spread and is just 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 contests. Excluding a 30-point blowout of Troy, Coastal Carolina has been outscored by 10 points per game in their last 10 games.
On the season, Coastal Carolina is 4-6 against the spread on the road and 5-5 straight up. They have actually been better against the number on the road than at home, as demonstrated by their 20-point home loss to Appalachian State. Coastal Carolina is ranked 193rd by KenPom, with the 160th ranked offense and the 249th ranked defense. Coastal Carolina is led by Sophomore guard DeVante Jones, who is averaging 16.4 points per game, 5.5 rebounds per game and 5.5 assists per game with a 53.2 eFG%.
Appalachian State is 7-4 against the spread in their last 11 games in conference play and 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 home games. Appalachian State has only outscored opponents by 1.27 points per game over this 11-game stretch, and their margins of victory and defeat have tended to fluctuate wildly.
Appalachian State is 3-3 against the spread in their last 3 home games and 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games away from Boone Like Coastal Carolina, they tend to perform better against the number when they are on the road and not favored. Appalachian State is ranked 164th by KenPom, with the 207th ranked offense and the 122nd ranked defense in the nation. Appalachian State is led by Junior guard Justin Forrest, who is averaging 17.9 points per game, 3.6 rebounds per game and 3.0 assists per game with a 45.8 eFG%.
In the previous meeting between these two teams, Appalachian State blew Coastal Carolina out by 20 points as a 6 1/2 -point underdog. The home team is 5-2 against the spread in the 7 previous meetings between these schools, and Appalachian State is 5-2 against the spread in the last 7 versus Coastal Carolina. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 games for Appalachian State, and the over is 6-4 in the last 10 games for Coastal Carolina.
I just can’t see Coastal Carolina being able to keep up in this game, and I expect Appalachian State to pull away in the second half and win their final home game of the season in commanding fashion.