Texas-Arlington vs. Texas State - 2/28/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports
Texas State (19-10) at Texas-Arlington (13-16)
College Basketball: Friday, February 28, 2020 at 9:00 pm (College Park Center)
The Line: Texas-Arlington -1 -- Over/Under: 133.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Texas State Bobcats (19-10, CONF 12-6) and Texas-Arlington Mavericks (13-16, CONF 9-9) face off in a Sun Belt Conference showdown at College Park Center. The Mavericks knocked off the Bobcats 64-62 earlier this season.
Texas State has been a strong team at home, and they have had some struggles on the road. Away from home Texas State has a 5-7 record and the offense is averaging 68.2 points per game. Over the last five games, Texas State is averaging 71.2 points while the defense is giving up 64.2 points.
Texas State has won four games in a row, covering the spread in three of them, but all the games were at home. The Bobcats are led by guard Nijal Pearson who is averaging 19.5 points while shooting 42.8 percent from the field. In each of the last three games, Pearson has scored at least 18 points.
Texas Arlington comes into this game having won three of the last four games, but the loss was a bad one against Georgia Southern in their last game. The defense struggled for the Mavericks giving up 81 points and that led to a 20 point loss.
At home this season Texas-Arlington has an 8-6 record and they are averaging 68.4 points per game. The Mavericks are led by guard David Azore who is averaging 14 points while shooting 43.4 percent from the field. Azore hasn’t scored more than 12 points in any of their last seven games and as they get closer to the tournament, they need more production out of him.
Texas State is 2-6 against the spread in their last eight road games. The under is 17-8 in Texas-Arlington’s last 25 home games. The over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between Texas State and Texas-Arlington.
Going on the road isn’t going to work out too well for Texas State in this game. Look for Texas State’s defense to struggle, and that will cost them. Look for Texas-Arlington to run up the score and that will be enough for them to win this game and cover the spread.