Davidson vs. Dayton - 2/28/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
Davidson Wildcats (15-12) at Dayton Flyers (26-2)
College Basketball: Friday, February 28, 2020 at 7:00 pm (University of Dayton Arena)
The Line: Dayton Flyers -11 -- Over/Under: 140.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Davidson Wildcats (15-12, 9-6 CONF) and the Dayton Flyers (26-2, 15-0 CONF) will meet on Friday, February 28th for an A10 conference matchup at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, OH. The game will be played at 7:00 PM eastern time.
Davidson is coming off a 74-49 home win over La Salle in their last game. Davidson has now won back-to-back games and four of their last five overall. Dayton is coming off a 62-55 road win over George Mason in their last game. Dayton is currently ranked #4 in the county and they have won 17 straight games overall. Dayton has proven this entire season that they are one of the biggest contenders when it comes to making a run in the NCAA tournament.
Davidson scores 73.2 points per game on 45.3 percent field goal shooting this season. Davidson’s leading scorer is G Kellan Grady, who scores 16.8 points per game. The leading rebounder for Davidson is G Jon Axel Gudmundsson, who earns 7.3 rebounds per game. Davidson allows 66.6 points per game to the opposition, therefore they have a +6.6 scoring differential so far this season. Davidson also earns 34.1 rebounds, 14.3 assists, 2.8 blocks, and 5.7 steals per game as a team.
Dayton scores 79.9 points per game on 52 percent field goal shooting this season. Dayton’s leading scorer and rebounder is F Obi Toppin, who scores 19.7 points per game and earns 7.7 rebounds per game. Dayton allows 65.2 points per game to the opposition, thus they have a +14.7 point differential so far this season. Dayton also earns 34.8 rebounds, 17.5 assists, 3.5 blocks, and 6.0 steals per game as a team.
Davidson is 12-15 against the spread this season and 6-4 against the spread in their last ten games. Davidson is also 4-7 against the spread on the road so far this season. Dayton is 14-13-1 against the spread this season and 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games. Dayton is also 8-6-1 against the spread at home so far this season.
Although Dayton has played extremely well this season, I think this is too many points to lay with them, even at home. This game could be close for a long time, so I will take Davidson to cover the spread, even though I think Dayton will win outright.