Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Arkansas State - 2/26/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
Arkansas State Red Wolves (15-14) at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (11-17)
College Basketball: Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Cajun Dome)
The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns -2.5 -- Over/Under: 149.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to the Cajundome in Lafayette, LA to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns this Wednesday in a Sun Belt showdown, tipping off at 8:00PM EST.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have lost seven straight games and dropped to 15-14 (7-11 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Little Rock Trojans, 81-78, this past Saturday. Arkansas State battled to a 37-35 deficit in the first half and kept it tight throughout the second half. It wasn’t until Markquis Nowell made a three with 0:54 seconds remaining in regulation that Little Rock was able to take control for good. The Red Wolves shot 40.6% from the field and 26.1% from three-point range. Marquis Eaton led the way for Arkansas State with 27 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals.
On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 70.6 points per game on 43.6% shooting from the field and 5.9 three-pointers per game on 34.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Marquis Eaton (12.9 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.9 apg) and Caleb Fields (11.2 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 3.5 apg) have been the leaders on offense this season for Arkansas State.
Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 71.6 points per game on 45.9% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves are grabbing 6.7 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 1.2 on the season.
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns lost their last game and dropped to 11-17 (6-11 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the UL Monroe Warhawks, 83-77, this past Saturday. Louisiana took a 43-41 lead into the half, but couldn’t hold off UL Monroe as they grabbed the lead for good, 76-73, with just 1:29 remaining in regulation. The Ragin’ Cajuns shot 43.3% from the field and 38.7% from beyond the arc. Jalen Johnson was the top performer for Louisiana with 15 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal in the contest.
On the season, Louisiana is averaging 71.7 points per game on 41.2% shooting from the field. The Ragin’ Cajuns are also netting 7.7 three-pointers per game on 32.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Jalen Johnson (15.5 ppg, 6.9 rpg), Cedric Russell (13.3 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.1 apg) and Kobe Julien (12.8 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.9 spg) have been the offensive leaders for Louisiana this season.
Defensively, Louisiana is allowing their opponents to average 75.0 points per game on 44.5% shooting from the field. The Ragin’ Cajuns are grabbing 5.9 steals per game and have a turnover margin of -0.4 on the season.
Arkansas State is 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 games and 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 road games. Louisiana is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games and 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 game played in February.
Arkansas State comes into the game ranking 89th in the country with 14.3 assists per game and 86th in college basketball with an assist/turnover ratio of 1.12 on the season. Louisiana ranks 85th in team FT% at 73.4% on the season and 158th with 3.2 blocks per game.
I think Arkansas State is going to control the pace of this game and their excellent ball movement will be hard for Louisiana to keep up with. Looks for the Red Wolves to push the pace in this one. I’m taking Arkansas State to cover this low spread on the road.