Valparaiso vs. Missouri State - 2/25/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Missouri State Bears (14-15) at Valparaiso Crusaders (15-14)
College Basketball: Tuesday, February 25, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)
The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -2.5 -- Over/Under: 141 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Missouri State Bears will travel to Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN to take on the Valparaiso Crusaders this Tuesday in a MVC showdown, tipping off at 8:00PM EST.
The Missouri State Bears won their last game and improved to 14-15 (8-8 MVC) on the season after defeating the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers 74-62 this past Saturday. Missouri State controlled this game from the jump, never trailing in the contest. The Bears got out to a 41-23 lead at the half and cruised home from there. The closest Loyola-Chicago would get was 48-40 with 11:52 remaining in the half before Missouri State pulled away for good. The Bears shot 41.4% from the field and 33.3% from three-point range. Marquise Kennedy led the way for Missouri State with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists off the bench.
On the season, Missouri State is averaging 69.4 points per game on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Bears are also averaging 6.8 three-pointers per game on 34.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Keandre Cook (14.8 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.5 apg), Gaige Prim (13.5 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.4 apg) and Tulio Da Silva (9.8 ppg, 7.0 rpg) have been the offensive leaders for Missouri State this season.
Defensively, Missouri State is allowing their opponents to average 67.2 points per game on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Bears are grabbing 6.2 steals per game but have a turnover margin of -1.1 on the season.
The Valparaiso Crusaders won their last game and improved to 15-14 (8-8 MVC) on the season after defeating the Bradley Braves, 90-78, this past Saturday. Valparaiso was down 42-36 at the half but used an offensive surge in the second half to take a 76-61 lead with 6:08 remaining in regulation and coasted to the victory from there. The Crusaders shot 55.6% from the field and and impressive 64.3% from distance going 18-28. Javon Freeman-Liberty led the charge for Valparaiso with 18 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists.
On the season, Valparaiso is averaging 72.3 points per game on 43.8% shooting from the field. The Crusaders are also netting 8.3 three-pointers per game on 33.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Javon Freeman-Liberty (19.3 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 3.2 apg) and Ryan Fazekas (10.7 ppg, 2.0 rpg) have been the leaders on offense this season for Valparaiso.
Defensively, Valparaiso is allowing their opponents to average 71.0 points per game on 45.6% shooting from the field. The Crusaders are grabbing 8.0 steals per game aiding in a turnover margin of 1.7 on the season.
Missouri State is 6-0 against the spread in their last 6 games and 9-3 against the spread on the road this season. Valparaiso is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games and 9-2 against the spread at home.
Missouri State comes into the matchup ranking 35th in the country in rebound margin at 5.4 and 65th in team FT% at 74.3% on the season. Valparaiso ranks 33rd in the country with 15.1 assists per game and 71st in college basketball with an assist/turnover ratio of 1.71.
Valparaiso defends home court well, going 10-2 at home this season but lost 67-60 at home against Missouri State earlier in the season. I think Missouri state will control the pace in this one and keep it close. I’m taking Missouri State to cover on the road in what I think will be a close game.