Morehead State vs. Tennessee State - 2/22/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports
Tennessee State Tigers (16-12) at Morehead State Eagles (12-16)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 22, 2020 at 3:00 pm (Ellis T Johnson Arena)
The Line: Morehead State Eagles -1 -- Over/Under: 140.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Tennessee State Tigers will travel to Ellis T. Johnson Arena in Morehead, KY to take on the Morehead State Eagles this Saturday in an OVC showdown, tipping off at 3:00 EST.
The Tennessee State Tigers lost their last game, dropping to 16-12 (8-7 OVC) on the season after being defeated, 83-62, by the Eastern Kentucky Colonels this past Thursday. The Tigers seemingly never had a chance in this game as the Colonels opened up on a 30-3 tear in the first 8 minutes of the game. From there, Eastern Kentucky was able to go on cruise control as the Tigers could only manage to close the gap to 14 at 72-58 with 5:08 left in regulation. Tennessee State shot 45.1% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc. Wesley Harris led the way for the Tigers with 18 points, 7 rebounds, 1 assist and 2 steals.
On the season, Tennessee State is averaging 72.9 points per game on 47.1% shooting from the field. The Tigers are also averaging 7.5 three-pointers per game on 35.6% shooting from three-point range. Carlos Marshall Jr. (12.1 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 2.1 apg), Welsey Harris (11.2 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 1.2 apg) and Michael Littlejohn (10.8 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 3.4 apg) have been the offensive leaders this season for Tennessee State.
Defensively, Tennessee State is allowing their opponents to average 72.4 points per game on 41.4% shooting from the field. The Tigers are grabbing 5.3 steals per game and have a turnover margin of -4.7 on the season.
The Morehead State Eagles are coming into the game, losers of four in a row and now sit at 12-16 (6-9 OVC) on the season after dropping, 80-67, to the Belmont Bruins this past Thursday. The Eagles went into the hald down, 34-25, but were able to mount a rally midway into the second half. Morehead State pulled to within 3 at 54-51 with 10:42 remaining in regulation, however, the Bruins got hot from there and pulled away for the victory. The Eagles shot 45.8% from the field and 29.2% from three-point range. Djimon Henson was the top performer for Morehead State, reaching a double-double with 10 points and 10 rebounds to go along with a steal and an assist.
On the season, Morehead State is averaging 69.3 points per game on 43.4% shooting from the field. The Eagles are also averaging 5.8 three-pointers per game on 29.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Jordan Walker (12.8 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.4 apg), Djimon Henson (10.6 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.1 apg) and Tyzhaun Claude (9.4 ppg, 6.3 rpg) have been the leaders on offense for Morehead State this season.
Defensively, Morehead State is allowing their opponents to average 69.9 points per game on 42.6% shooting from the field. The Eagles are grabbing 6.1 steals per game and have a turnover margin of 0.4 on the season.
Tennessee State is 7-6-1 ATS on the road this season and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Morehead State. The Eagles are 7-13 ATS in their past 20 games and 7-6 ATS at home on the season.
The Tigers shoot the ball well, ranking 28th in the country in FG%. Tennessee State also ranks 35th in college basketball with a rebound margin of 5.5. Morehead State comes into the game ranking 48th with 4.4 blocks per game and rank 84th in the country with an assist/turnover ratio of 1.12.
This game figures to be tight, as the line indicates. Neither team is playing particularly well at the moment but Tennessee State won in convincing fashion in the teams’ first meeting back in January. I think the Tigers will control the glass and the strong shooting for Tennessee State will seal a road win so I am taking the Tigers and the points in this one.