Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock - 2/22/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock - 2/22/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (18-9) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (15-13)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 22, 2020 at 5:00 pm (First National Bank Arena)

The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves +3 -- Over/Under: 144 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Little Rock Trojans will travel to First National Bank Arena to take on the on the Arkansas State Red Wolves this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Little Rock Trojans lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 18-9 (12-4 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the UT Arlington Mavericks, 76-65, this past Saturday. Little Rock struggled offensively against the Mavericks and allowed the UT Arlington to pull away late for the victory as the Mavericks closed out the final 4:37 of regulation on a 13-2 run. Little Rock shot just 22.2% from beyond the arc and committed 17 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was Nikola Maric who had 13 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists.

On the season, Little Rock is averaging 72.2 ppg on 46.9% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 6.0 three-pointers per game on 34.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Little Rock has been led by Markquis Nowell (16.7 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 5.0 apg, 2.2 spg), Ruot Monyyong (12.0 ppg, 10.0 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.1 spg, 2.1 bpg), and Ben Coupet Jr. (11.8 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.3 apg).

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Defensively, Little Rock is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 ppg on 42.3% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of 3.4 and a turnover margin of -1.7.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost their 6th consecutive game and dropped to 15-13 (7-10 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeating by the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, 66-52, this past Wednesday night. Arkansas State had no answers on the offensive end against Louisiana Monroe defense and couldn’t fight back after the Warhawks took a 55-33 lead with 12:35 left in regulation. Arkansas State shot just 37.0% from the field and 16.7% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Red Wolves was Marquis Eaton who had 17 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals.

On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 70.3 ppg on 43.8% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves are averaging 5.9 three-pointers per game on 35.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Arkansas State has been led by Marquis Eaton (12.4 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.5 spg), Caleb Fields (11.2 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.4 apg), and Canberk Kus (9.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.0 spg).

Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 71.3 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves have a rebound margin of -1.4 and a turnover margin of 1.3.

The Trojans are 8-6 ATS on the road this season, however, are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games agianst Arkansas State. The Red Wolves are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, however, have a 17-9 ATS record on the season.

Little Rock comes into this game ranked 143rd in scoring offense, 32nd in FG%, and 159th in scoring defense.

Arkansas State comes into this match-up ranked 206th in scoring offense, 232nd in scoring defense, and 95th in turnover margin.

Little Rock comes into this game as the top team in the Sun Belt, however, the Trojans have struggled defensively as of late, allowing 75.0 ppg in their last two games. Arkansas State has had a good history against Little Rock and despite their recent struggles, have played well at home this season, posting a 10-6 record. I was hoping for a few more points, however, as I’m not solid on this Little Rock team, especially on the road, I think Arkansas State keeps this game close and at worst covers with the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Arkansas State Red Wolves +3

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