The Citadel vs. Samford - 2/15/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Citadel vs. Samford - 2/15/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports

Samford Bulldogs (8-19) at The Citadel Bulldogs (6-18)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 15, 2020 at 1:00 pm (McAlister Field House)

The Line: The Citadel Bulldogs +1 -- Over/Under: 163.5

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The Samford Bulldogs will travel to McAlister Field House to take on The Citadel Bulldogs this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Samford Bulldogs lost their 11th straight game and dropped to 8-19 (2-11 Southern) on the season after being defeated by the Furman Paladins, 86-71, this past Wednesday. Samford had no answers defensively against Furman and couldn’t fight back after a 17-4 Paladins run gave Furman a 62-43 lead with 12:25 left in regulation. Samford committed 20 turnovers while also allowing Furman to shoot 51.7% from the field and 53.8% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Brandon Austin who had 21 points and 3 rebounds.

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On the season, Samford is averaging 73.9 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 6.4 three-pointers per game on 33.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Samford has been led by Josh Sharkey (17.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 7.2 apg, 2.8 spg), Brandon Austin (13.9 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.1 spg), and Robert Allen (13.5 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.1 apg).

Defensively, Samford is allowing their opponents to average 80.7 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of -2.3 and a turnover margin of -1.6.

The Citadel Bulldogs lost their 13 consecutive game and dropped to 6-18 (0-13 Southern) on the season after being defeated by the East Tennessee State Buccaneers, 91-67, this past Wednesday night. The Citadel kept the game close early and trailed by just a 38-32 margin at halftime, however, the Bulldogs struggled defensively in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after the Buccaneers took a 72-53 lead midway through the 2nd half. The Citadel shot 49.0% from the field, however, allowed East Tennessee State to shoot 55.0% from the field and was outrebounded by the Buccaneers by a 38-22 margin. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Fletcher Abee who had 16 points, 2 rebounds, and an assist.

On the season, The Citadel is averaging 76.6 ppg on 44.1% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 9.4 three-pointers per game on 33.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, The Citadel has been led by Kaiden Rice (13.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 1.0 apg), Kaelon Harris (13.3 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 1.6 apg), and Fletcher Abee (12.0 ppg, 1.8 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, The Citadel is allowing their opponents to average 80.2 ppg on 44.9% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of -2.5 and a turnover margin of -1.6.

Samford are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. The Citadel are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games agianst Samford.

Samford likes to keep game at a fast tempo and although their scoring offense is ranked 105th, the Bulldogs have struggled keeping opponents off the scoreboard as they come into this game ranked just 342nd in scoring defense & 292nd in scoring defense.

The Citadel also have a “run and gun” style offense and although the Bulldogs rank 49th in scoring offense & 23rd in three-pointers made per game, they continue to lose games due to their 338th ranked scoring defense.

Although both Samford and The Citadel are two of worst teams in the Southern Conference, these games are generally pretty entertaining as both team push tempo and get up a bunch of shots. Samford has struggled on the road this season and barely defeated The Citadel at home earlier this season, however, as I think Samford is the better overall team in this one, I think Samford wins the battle of the Bulldogs and cover this small road spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Samford Bulldogs -1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.