North Carolina vs. Virginia - 2/15/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

North Carolina vs. Virginia - 2/15/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Virginia Cavaliers (16-7) at North Carolina Tar Heels (10-14)

College Basketball: Saturday, February 15, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Dean E. Smith Center)

The Line: North Carolina Tar Heels -1 -- Over/Under: 118

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The Virginia Cavaliers (16-7, 8-5 CONF) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (10-14, 3-10 CONF) will meet on Saturday, February 15th for an ACC matchup at the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC. The game will be played at 8:00 PM eastern time. 

Virginia is coming off an exciting 50-49 overtime win over Notre Dame. Not many games will end with only 99 points scored with extra time, but that is Virginia for you. North Carolina has had one of the most disappointing seasons in recent history, and to make matters worse, they are currently on a four-game losing streak. In their last game, the Tar Heels lost 74-57 on the road to Wake Forest. 

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Virginia’s identity is not hard to find. They defend...very well. Virginia only scores 56.5 points per game, how can they win 16 games at this point in the season? Well, that is because they only allow 51.6 points to the opposition. Virginia has been an anomaly for years in college basketball, but everyone already knows that. Virginia also earns 35.0 rebounds, 11.3 assists, 4.4 blocks, and 5.5 steals per game. 

North Carolina has not done a lot right this season. Their offense has struggled, their defense has not been as sharp as it has been in past years. North Carolina has a -.4 point differential, as they score 71.4 points per game and allow 71.8 points to the opposition. North Carolina also earns 43.4 rebounds, 14.5 assists, 3.8 blocks, and 6.1 steals per game.

Virginia is 7-15-1 ATS this season and 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten games. Virginia is also 3-3-1 ATS on the road so far this season. North Carolina is 9-15 ATS this season and 5-5 ATS in their last ten games. North Carolina is also 3-9 ATS at home so far this season.

Before the season this game was marked on all of our calendars as a much watch battle of titans. That escalated quickly. This will be a battle of defense, just as every other Virginia game has been this season. I think Virginia has a lot more to play for, therefore I will take them as the one-point dog in this one. 

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Ronald’s Pick Virginia +1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.