Troy vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 2/13/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 2/13/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-17) at Troy Trojans (9-16)

College Basketball: Thursday, February 13, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Trojan Arena)

The Line: Troy Trojans -5 -- Over/Under: 130.5

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The UL Monroe Warhawks will travel to Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans this Thursday night in College Basketball action.

The UL Monroe Warhawks lost their 10th straight game and dropped to 6-17 (2-12 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia State Panthers, 77-69, this past Saturday. UL Monroe went into halftime trailing by just a 32-29 margin, however, the Warhawks struggled defensively in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after the Panthers took a 56-40 lead with just 9:42 left in regulation. UL Monroe shot 41.1% from the field and lost the turnover battle by a 14-11 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Warhawks was Tyree White who had 19 points, 9 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal.

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On the season, UL Monroe is averaging 62.6 ppg on 42.4% shooting from the field. The Warhawks are averaging 5.9 three-pointers per game on 33.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UL Monroe has been led by Michael Ertel (16.0 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.0 spg), JD Williams (14.1 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.2 spg), and Tyree White (9.7 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.5 apg). The Warhawks will be without JD Williams who is out for the season due to an ankle injury.

Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 ppg on 42.4% shooting from the field. The Warhawks have a rebound margin of -1.7 and a turnover margin of -2.3.

The Troy Trojans dropped to 9-16 (5-9 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the South Alabama Jaguars, 70-66, this past Friday night. Troy fought back from a 61-52 deficit in the 2nd half to make it a game late, however, the Trojans offense could pull off the come from behind victory after their offensive went scoreless over the final 1:01 of regulation. Troy shot 41.7% from the field and 30.6% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was Tahj Small who had 12 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists, and 2 steals.

On the season, Troy is averaging 69.5 ppg on 40.4% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 8.6 three-pointers per game on 32.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Troy has been led by Darian Adams (12.3 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 3.5 apg), Ty Gordon (12.2 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.0 spg), and Zay Williams (11.1 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.6 apg).

Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 72.3 ppg on 42.8% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -1.3 and a turnover margin of 0.5.

The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Trojans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

UL Monroe has been decent defensively, coming into this game ranked 145th in scoring defense, however, the Warhawks have really struggled offensively and currently rank just 336th in scoring offense and 249th in FG%.

Troy comes into this match-up ranked 235th in scoring offense, 259th in scoring defense, and 184th in defensive FG%.

UL Monroe has been competitive as of late as they gave both two of the better teams in Georgia State & Georgia Southern competitive games, however, it’s been a real struggle on the road for the Warhawks this season, as they are on 0-6 in conference road games this season while losing those games by an average of 19.5 ppg. Troy hasn’t had a great season however, the Trojans have picked up some nice wins against Texas State & Georgia State (twice), and as Troy has been decent at home this season and should be able to limit the UL Monroe offense, I’m taking Troy to cover this mid-range spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Troy Trojans -5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.