UC Davis vs. Cal Poly - 2/1/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Cal Poly Mustangs (5-15) at UC Davis Aggies (8-14)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 1, 2020 at 8:00 pm (The Pavilion)
The Line: UC Davis Aggies -8.5 -- Over/Under: 139 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Cal Poly Mustangs will travel to The Pavilion (UC Davis) to take on the UC Davis Aggies this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Cal Poly Mustangs snapped their 3-game losing streak and improved to 5-15 (2-4 Big West) on the season after defeating the Cal State Fullerton Titans, 101-100 in OT, this past Thursday night. In an exciting, high-scoring affair, the Mustangs were able to pull out the victory in OT after the Mustangs Colby Rogers made a game-winning lay-up as time expired in OT. Cal Poly shot an impressive 57.4% from the field and 40.9% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Mustangs was Junior Ballard who had 32 points, 3 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal.
On the season, Cal Poly is averaging 71.6 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Mustangs are averaging 6.5 three-pointers per game on 34.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Cal Poly has been led by Junior Ballard (12.6 ppg, 3.5 rpg), Colby Rodgers (9.0 ppg, 2.7 rpg), and Kyle Colvin (7.6 ppg, 4.3 rpg).
Defensively, Cal Poly is allowing their opponents to average 73.9 ppg on 45.5% shooting from the field. The Mustangs have a rebound margin of -4.6 and a turnover margin of -0.9.
The UC Davis Aggies lost their 3rd consecutive game and dropped to 8-14 (2-4 Big West) on the season after being defeated by the UC Irvine Anteaters, 80-65, this past Thursday night. UC Davis came out of the gates flat on both ends of the court and couldn’t fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 43-27 margin. UC Davis allowed UC Irvine to shoot 57.6% from the field and was outrebounded by the Anteaters by a 38-24 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Aggies was Elijah Pepper who had 18 points, 5 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal.
On the season, UC Davis is averaging 71.6 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Aggies are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 37.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UC Davis has been led by Joe Mooney (13.8 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 1.4 apg), Ezra Manjon (12.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.0 apg), and Stefan Gonzalez (10.1 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.0 apg).
Defensively, UC Davis is allowing their opponents to average 70.8 ppg on 45.4% shooting from the field. The Aggies have a rebound margin of -2.9 and a turnover margin of 1.4.
The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, however, are just 21-50-2 ATS in their last 73 Saturday games. The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games, however, are just 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games.
Cal Poly has struggled statistically on both ends of the court this season and currently rank just 316th in scoring offense, 273rd in FG%, and 23rd in scoring defense.
UC Davis has lost 4 of their last 6 games and although the Aggies rank 97th in FG%, the Aggies have struggled defensively as they come into this game ranked just T-219th in scoring offense & 292nd in defensive FG%.
UC Davis has dominated this match-up over recent years, however, the Aggies are not the same quality team that we’ve seen in recent years. Cal Poly has been competitive as of late, winning 4 of their last 5 games ATS including tough road match-ups at Hawai’i and UC Irvine and as I think their offense can have some success agianst the Aggies in this match-up, I think the Mustangs will do just enough to cover with the points. Take Cal Poly to cover. Good Luck!