Wake Forest vs. Virginia - 1/26/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Virginia Cavaliers (12-6) at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (9-9)
College Basketball: Sunday, January 26, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +4.5 -- Over/Under: 119 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Virginia Cavaliers and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons meet in ACC college basketball action from the Lawrence Joel Coliseum on Sunday afternoon.
The Virginia Cavaliers could use a feel-good win after losing 4 of their last 5 games after a 53-51 loss to NC State last time out. Kihei Clark led the Cavaliers with 10 points with 7 rebounds and a team-high 5 assists as the lone double-digit scorer for Virginia in the losing effort. Braxton Key matched his 8 points with a team-high 8 rebounds while Mamadi Diakite also contributed 8 points with 7 rebounds and 3 blocks. Diakite leads Virginia in scoring with an average of 13.1 points per game while Key leads the Cavaliers in rebounding with 7.2 rebounds per game and Clark leads Virginia in assists with 5.9 assists per game this season. As a team, Virginia is averaging 55.5 points per game on 40.4% shooting from the field, 26.7% from behind the arc and 70.4% from the foul line this season. The Cavaliers also own one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing just 49.7 points per game on 35.9% shooting from the field, sitting 1st and 2nd in the country in those categories respectively.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons will be looking to rebound after a 71-68 loss to Clemson last time out. Andrien White led the Deacons with 22 points on 7 of 15 shooting with 3 threes while Olivier Sarr added 16 points on 7 of 11 shooting with a team-high 12 rebounds for the double-double and Brandon Childress chipped in 14 points with a team-high 6 assists to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Wake Forest in the defeat. Childress leads Wake Forest in scoring and assists with an average of 15.2 points and 4.7 assists per game while Sarr leads Wake Forest in rebounds with an average of 9.5 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Wake Forest is averaging 72.5 points per game on 42.8% shooting from the field, 34.1% from behind the arc and 73.8% from the foul line this season.
Virginia is 38-17 ATS in their last 55 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss while the under is 37-15-1 in their last 53 road games against a team with a winning home record. Wake Forest is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the over is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games overall. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
I get Virginia being favored in this matchup as that defense can always be Virginia’s greatest weapon and an equalizer. However, the Cavaliers seem to be in unfamiliar territory where they’re struggling and the issue with Virginia is that the anemic offense isn’t doing the team any favors. Wake Forest isn’t a world beater by any means but the Demon Deacons can shoot and are capable of taking advantage of Virginia’s offensive issues here. I’m not rushing out to bet this game, but the points could hold some value here.