Missouri State vs. Valparaiso - 1/23/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Missouri State vs. Valparaiso - 1/23/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

Valparaiso Crusaders (10-9) at Missouri State Bears (9-10)

College Basketball: Thursday, January 23, 2020 at 8:30 pm (JQH Arena)

The Line: Missouri State Bears -4 -- Over/Under: 140.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Valparaiso Crusaders and the Missouri State Bears meet in MVC college basketball action from the JQH Arena on Thursday night.

The Valparaiso Crusaders will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last six games following an 86-77 win over Indiana State in their last outing. Javon Freeman-Liberty led Valpo with 25 pints on 8 of 16 shooting with a team-high 8 rebounds while Donovan Clay added 18 points and Eron Gordon and John Kiser each had 12 points with Kiser adding 8 rebounds while Gordon chipped in 3 assists. Mileek McMillan added 11 points to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Valpo in the winning effort. Freeman-Liberty leads Valparaiso in scoring and rebounding with an average of 21.2 points and 5.6 rebounds per game while Daniel Sackey leads Valpo in assists with 4.2 assists per game this season. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 74.5 points per game on 44.3% shooting from the field, 34% from behind the arc and 70.3% from the foul line this season.

The Missouri State Bears will look to build on a 68-58 win over Evansville in their last outing. Isiaih Mosley led the Bears with 23 points on 10 of 14 shooting with 3 threes and a team-high 8 rebounds while Keandre Cook added 19 points on 6 of 13 shooting with 3 threes and a team-high 4 assists. Gaige Prim added 12 points to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Missouri State in the winning effort. Cook leads the Bears in scoring with an average of 15 points per game while Tulio Da Silva leads the Bears in rebounding with 7.3 rebounds per game and Tyrik Dixon leads Missouri State in assists with 3.6 assists per game this season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 67.1 points per game on 43.2% shooting from the field, 35% from behind the arc and 75.1% from the foul line this season.

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Valparaiso is 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog while the over is 10-3 in their last 13 road games. Missouri State is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a win while the under is 8-3 in their last 11 games as a favorite. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Both of these teams have been solid against the number lately, and both are outscoring their opponents by just over a point a game this season. However, Valparaiso has been allowing 77.3 points per game on the road this season while Missouri State is outscoring teams by 5.9 points per game and allowing just 64.1 points per game this season. The Bears are also good at shooting the three, which is something that the Crusaders struggle to defend, and the Crusaders may be short-handed for this one. I’ll lay the points with Missouri State in this one.

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Chris’s Pick Missouri State -4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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