Valparaiso vs. Indiana State - 1/18/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Valparaiso vs. Indiana State - 1/18/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Rick Osentoskij-USA TODAY Sports

Indiana State Sycamores (10-6) at Valparaiso Crusaders (9-9)

College Basketball: Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Athletics-Recreation Center)

The Line: Valparaiso Crusaders -1.5 -- Over/Under: 142 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Indiana State Sycamores and the Valparaiso Crusaders meet in MVC college basketball action from the Athletics-Recreation Center on Saturday night.

The Indiana State Sycamores will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 65-42 win over Evansville last time out. Tyreke Key led the Sycamores with 13 points along with 5 steals while Cooper Neese added 12 points on 4 of 8 shooting with 3 threes and Tre Williams chipped in 10 points with 5 rebounds to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Indiana State in the win. Jake Laravia grabbed a team-high 10 rebounds with 3 blocks while Jordan Barnes had 5 points with 6 rebounds and a team-high 5 assists. Key leads the Sycamores in scoring and rebounding with an average of 17.6 points and 5.3 rebounds per game while Barnes leads the Sycamores in assists with 3.8 assists per game this season. As a team, Indiana State is averaging 71.2 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range and 68.7% from the foul line this season.

The Valparaiso Crusaders sill look for some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last five games following an 88-78 loss to Northern Iowa last time out. Javon Freeman-Liberty led the Crusaders with 28 points on 12 of 14 shooting with a team-high 8 rebounds and 4 steals while Ben Krikke added 13 points on 5 of 7 shooting with 3 treys. Mileek McMillan added 11 points on 4 of 8 shooting with a pair of threes while Daniel Sackey added 10 points with a pair of triples and 3 assists of his own to cap off the scoring in double figures for Valpo in the loss. Zion Morgan dished out a team-high 5 assists as well in the losing effort. Freeman-Liberty leads the Crusaders in scoring and rebounding with an average of 20.9 points and 5.5 rebounds per game while Sackey leads the Crusaders in assists with 4.2 assists per game this season. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 73.9 points per game on 44% shooting from the field, 33.8% from 3-point range and 69.4% from the foul line this season.

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Indiana State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a game where they covered the sprad while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Valparaiso is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games an 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

Valparaiso has been competitive at home, as their two home conference games have been decided by an average of 4 points per game and the Crusaders are averaging 75 points per game and outscoring teams by 9 points per game at home this season. However, I just think that Indiana State is the better team playing better basketball lately and the Sycamores have stepped up their defensive presence lately. I’ll side with Indiana State on the road in this one.

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Chris’s Pick Indiana State +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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