New Hampshire vs. UMBC - 1/18/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports
UMBC Retrievers (7-11) at New Hampshire Wildcats (8-9)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 11:30 am (Lundholm Gym)
The Line: New Hampshire Wildcats -3.5 -- Over/Under: 132 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The UMBC Retrievers will travel to Lundholm Gymnasium to take on the New Hampshire Wildcats this Saturday morning in College Basketball action.
The UMBC Retrievers lost their 3rd consecutive game and dropped to 7-11 (0-3 American East) on the season after being defeated by the Vermont Catamounts, 74-50, this past Saturday. UMBC trailed by just a 35-34 margin early in the 2nd half agianst the heavily favored Catamounts, however, struggled offensively in the 2nd half and couldn’t fight back after a 10-0 Vermont run gave the Catamounts a 61-42 lead with 7:18 remaining. UMBC shot just 35.4% from the field and 25.0% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Retrievers was Brandon Horvath who had 14 points & 4 rebounds.
On the season, UMBC is averaging 70.2 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Retrievers are average 7.2 three-pointers per game on 31.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UMBC has been led by Darnell Rogers (14.0 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.3 apg), K.J. Jackson (11.0 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 4.6 apg, 1.5 spg) & L.J. Owens (10.7 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.6 apg). UMBC will be without Darnell Rogers who is currently out due to a leg injury.
Defensively, UMBC is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 ppg on 42.5% shooting from the field. The Retrievers have a rebound margin of -0.5 and a turnover margin of 1.2.
The New Hampshire Wildcats lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 7-10 (1-3 American East) on the season after being defeated by the Albany Great Danes, 76-73 in OT, this past Wednesday. New Hampshire fought back from a double-digit 2nd half deficit to force OT and had a late 74-73 lead in OT, however, couldn’t hold on for the win after Albany’s Antonio Rizzuto made a game-winning jumper with just :03 seconds left in OT. New Hampshire shot 38.7% from the field and while allowing Albany to shoot 52.9% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Wildcats was Sean Sutherlin who had 15 points, 9 rebounds, 1 assist, & 3 steals.
On the season, New Hampshire is averaging 70.5 ppg on 41.2% shooting from the field. The Wildcats are averaging 8.8 three-pointers per game on 32.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, New Hampshire has been led by Nick Guadarrama (14.1 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 2.3 apg), Sean Sutherlin (13.3 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 2.9 rpg), and Jayden Martinez (11.2 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.2 apg).
Defensively, New Hampshire is allowing their opponents to average 66.5 ppg on 39.6% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have a rebound margin of 8.1 and a turnover margin of -1.2.
The Retrievers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wildcats are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
UMBC is more of a well-known name after their incredible victory a few years ago, becoming the first 16-seed to win a NCAA Tournament game, however, the Retrievers are no where near the talent level of that team and have really struggled at the start of American East play. New Hampshire is nothing more than a middle of the road American East team, however, the Wildcats have been solid defensively this season, ranking 113th in scoring defense and should have an advantage on the boards as they currently rank 16th in rebound margin. New Hampshire was impressive in their loss agianst Albany and as I think the Wildcats will make it hard for UMBC to put up a lot of points, I think the Wildcats do enough to cover this small spread.