Florida vs. Auburn - 1/18/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Auburn Tigers (15-1) at Florida Gators (11-5)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 1:30 pm (Stephen C. O'Connell Center)
The Line: Florida Gators -2.5 -- Over/Under: 141 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The 4th ranked Auburn Tigers will travel to Exactech Arena to take on the Florida Gators this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.
The 4th ranked Auburn Tigers suffered their first loss of their season and dropped to 15-1 (3-1 SEC) after being defeated by the Alabama Crimson Tide, 83-64, this past Wednesday. Auburn struggled on both ends of the court agianst the Crimson Tide and couldn’t fight back after falling behind by a 59-48 margin with 7:03 left in regulation. Auburn shot just 31.7% from the field and 25.0% from beyond the arc and committed 21 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Tigers was Austin Wiley who had a double-double with 10 points, 13 rebounds, and 2 blocks.
On the season, Auburn is averaging 80.9 ppg on 45.6% shooting from the field. The Tigers are averaging 8.2 three-pointers per game on 31.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Auburn has been led by Samir Doughty (15.1 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.4 spg), Isaac Okoro (13.2 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 1.9 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.1 bpg), J’Von McCormick (11.2 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 5.0 apg, 1.1 spg), and Austin Wiley (10.7 ppg, 9.4 rpg, 1.9 bpg).
Defensively, Auburn is allowing their opponents to average 67.3 ppg on 40.3% shooting form the field. The Tigers have a rebound margin of 6.8 and a turnover margin of 1.2.
The Florida Gators improved 11-5 (3-1 SEC) on the season after defeating the Ole Miss Rebels, 71-55, this past Tuesday. Florida was solid on the offensive end agianst the Rebels and had no trouble securing the victory after going into halftime with a 40-28 lead. Florida shot 54.0% from the field and won the turnover battle by a 18-12 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Keyontae Johnson who had 15 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 steals.
On the season, Florida is averaging 73.8 ppg on 44.4% shooting from the field. The Gators are averaging 6.5 three-pointers per game on 32.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Florida has been led by Kerry Blackshear Jr. (15.0 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.5 apg), Keyontae Johnson (13.0 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.1 spg), and Andrew Nembhard (11.1 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 5.9 apg, 1.3 spg), and Scottie Lewis (8.9 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 1.5 spg, 1.5 bpg). Andrew Nembhard is currently questionable for the game as he is battling the flu.
Defensively, Florida is allowing their opponents to average 66.4 ppg on 40.6% shooting from the field. The Gators have a rebound margin of 4.9 and a turnover margin of 1.4.
The Tigers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games, however, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
Auburn struggled offensively against Alabama, however, the Tigers have been outstanding offensively this season as they come into this game ranked 18th in scoring offense, 88th in FG%, and 90th in three-pointers made per game.
Florida has been solid on both ends of the court this season as they rank 123rd in scoring offense, 111th in scoring defense, and 91st in defensive FG%.
Auburn has been outstanding this season, however, they have benefited from a soft schedule and haven’t looked great on the road as they’ve posted just a 2-1 record with the blowout loss agianst Alabama and close 70-69 victory agianst South Alabama team that is just 11-8 on the season. Florida is a balanced team that is tough on their home court (6-1 this season) and although not having Nembhard is concerning, I think the Gators will be able to do enough to cover this small spread.