Louisiana-Monroe vs. Texas State - 1/16/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Louisiana-Monroe vs. Texas State - 1/16/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports

Texas State Bobcats (10-8) at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (6-10)

College Basketball: Thursday, January 16, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Fant-Ewing Coliseum)

The Line: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +4.5 -- Over/Under: 128.5

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The Texas State Bobcats and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks meet in Sun Belt conference college basketball action from the Fant-Ewing Coliseum on Thursday night.

The Texas State Bobcats will look to build on back-to-back wins after an 82-57 win over Appalachian State in their last outing. Nijal Pearson led the Bobcats with 22 points on 7 of 15 shooting with 4 threes and 5 rebounds while Alonzo Sule added 18 points on 7 of 8 shooting with 6 rebounds. Mason Harrell added 15 points on 5 of 6 shooting with 3 threes and a pair of steals and Quentin Scott added 11 points with 6 rebounds to finish off the scoring in double figures for the Bobcats in the winning effort. Marlin Davis added 4 points with a team-high 5 assists as well in the winning effort for the Bobcats. Pearson leads Texas State in scoring with an average of 18.9 points per game while Harrell leads the Bobcats in assists with 3.1 assists per game and Isiah Small leads Texas State in rebounding with 6.8 rebounds per game this season.

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will be out to snap a three-game losing streak after an 84-62 loss to Georgia State in their last outing. Tyree White led the Warhawks with 21 points along with a team-high 9 rebounds while JD Williams added 14 points and Michael Ertel chipped in 10 points to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Louisiana-Monroe in the losing effort. Ertel leads the Warhawks in scoring and assists with an average of 16.2 points and 2.8 assists per game while Williams leads Louisiana-Monroe in rebounding with an average of 5.6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Louisiana-Monroe is averaging 63.7 points per game on 42.5% shooting from the field, 35.9% from behind the 3-point line and 67.8% from the foul line this season.

Texas State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 games overall. Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 38-12-1 in their last 51 home games. The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

I get Texas State being favored as the Bobcats have shown flashes of being the better offensive team, but the Bobcats also haven’t done well on the road lately, losing 4 of their last 5 road games as well as 3 of their last 4 conference games away from home. ULM’s had issues scoring this season, but the Warhawks did beat South Alabama and Troy at home and are outscoring their opponents by 9.1 points per game at home this season. I’ll take my chances with the home dog and take Louisiana-Monroe and the points here.

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Chris’s Pick Louisiana-Monroe +4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.