Long Beach State vs. UC Davis - 1/16/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Long Beach State vs. UC Davis - 1/16/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

UC Davis Aggies (6-11) at Long Beach State Beach (6-12)

College Basketball: Thursday, January 16, 2020 at 10:00 pm (The Walter Pyramid)

The Line: Long Beach State Beach PK -- Over/Under: 141.5

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The UC-Davis Aggies and the Long Beach State Beach meet in Big West conference college basketball action from the Walter Pyramid on Thursday night.

The UC-Davis Aggies will look to bounce back from a 65-59 loss to UC-Riverside in their last outing. Ezra Manjon led the Aggies with 17 points on 7 of 12 shooting with 3 steals while Elijah Pepper added 13 points with a team-high 6 rebounds and Joe Mooney added 12 points to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for UC-Davis in the losing effort. Kennedy Koehler added a team-high 4 assists and 3 steals as well in the defeat. Mooney leads UC-Davis in scoring with an average of 15.2 points per game while Pepper leads the Aggies in rebounding with an average of 5.4 rebounds per game and Manjon leads UC-Davis in assists with 3.9 assists per game this season. As a team, UC-Davis is averaging 71.2 points per game on 46% shooting from the field, 36.3% from behind the arc and 77.3% from the foul line this season.

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The Long Beach State Beach will look for some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last four games following a 55-52 win over UC-Santa Barbara in their last outing. Chance Hunter led the Beach with 16 points on 7 of 15 shooting with a pair of threes along with 5 rebounds while Michael Carter III and Joshua Morgan each had 10 points to cap off the threesome of double-digit scorers for Long Beach State in the win. Morgan added a team-high 7 rebounds while Carter III dished out a team-high 6 assists. Hunter leads the Beach in scoring with an average of 14 points per game while Carter III leads Long Beach State in assists with 3.2 assists per game and Morgan leads Long Beach State in rebounding with 5.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Long Beach State is averaging 67.8 points per game on 43.6% shooting from the field, 35.1% from behind the arc and 68.1% from the foul line this season.

UC-Davis is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record. Long Beach State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 home games. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

I’m tempted to take the Beach at home, but the problem is that UC-Davis has been really strong against the number lately, especially on the road where the Aggies have covered their last 6 games. Long Beach State is battle-tested as always and have been good at home, but I can’t pass on UC-Davis right now with the way they’ve been competing. Give me the Aggies in this toss-up.

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Chris’s Pick UC-Davis PK

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.