SMU vs. Jacksonville State - 11/5/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

SMU vs. Jacksonville State - 11/5/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Jacksonville State Gamecocks (0-0) at Southern Methodist Mustangs (0-0)

College Basketball: Tuesday, November 5, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Moody Coliseum-Dallas)

The Line: Southern Methodist Mustangs -12 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Jacksonville State Gamecocks and SMU Mustangs meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the Moody Coliseum.

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are fresh off a 24-win season and hope they can set the tone early for more success. Ty Hudson returns after averaging 9.8 points and 2.7 assists while De'Torrion Ware is back after averaging 5.3 points and 1.4 rebounds. Derek St. Hilaire played in 31 games last season and Maros Zeliznak averaged eight minutes per game. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks clearly aren’t the same team they were a year ago, as they lost five of their top-six scorers, including a first-team selection in Jason Burnell. It’s probably fair to say that Jacksonville State won’t be as successful as they were a season ago. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks have won their last four road games.

The SMU Mustangs won just 15 games last year and finished the season with losses in 10 of their last 13 tries. Ethan Chargois returns after averaging 12.4 points and 6.2 rebounds while Isiaha Mike averaged 11.7 points and 5.4 rebounds. Feron Hunt played almost 24 minutes per game last season and CJ White played in 23 games overall. The SMU Mustangs return two double-digit scorers from last season, so there’s reason to believe this will be improved year. However, SMU must discover some depth, as the AAC isn’t a watered down conference like it once was. The SMU Mustangs have lost five of their last seven home games.

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The Gamecocks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games, 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. The over is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 overall. The under is 9-2 in Mustangs last 11 home games.

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks were quite impressive last year and had value ATS as well, but this isn't close to being the same team with six of their top seven scorers gone. The SMU Mustangs have done a good job over the years of retooling and brining in talent, and they return two of their better scorers from last season, which is a major boost right away for this team to be successful. While this is a lot of points to lay in a season opener, I can't back Jacksonville State with how many key players it lost this offseason. 

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Randy’s Pick Southern Methodist Mustangs -12

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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