East Carolina vs. VMI - 11/5/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

East Carolina vs. VMI - 11/5/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

VMI Keydets (0-0) at East Carolina Pirates (0-0)

College Basketball: Tuesday, November 5, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum)

The Line: East Carolina Pirates -7.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The VMI Keydets and East Carolina Pirates meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the Minges Coliseum.

The VMI Keydets are coming off an 11-win season but finished the year wining four of their last five games. Garrett Gilkeson is back after averaging 10.9 points and 6.2 rebounds and Myles Lewis returns as a second double-digit scorer option. Greg Parham averaged 2.5 assists last season and should see a larger scoring role. The VMI Keydets should have a much improved season considering they return three of their top five scorers and finished the year playing some of their best basketball. The VMI Keydets just need to improve a defense that was one of the worst in the country, allowing 47.5 percent shooting and 81.8 points per game. The VMI Keydets have lost 11 of their last 12 road games.

The East Carolina Pirates won just 10 games last year and are riding a five-game losing streak. Jayden Gardner returns after leading ECU with 16.3 points and 8.5 rebounds while Seth LeDay averaged 11 points and 5.8 rebounds. Unfortunately, that’s about the only two key contributors returning from last season, as the Pirates have 11 new faces on this years roster. It’s nice to have Gardner back on the team, one of the better scorers in the AAC, but the Pirates will need him to be even better this year if they’re going to come close to sniffing a winning season. The East Carolina Pirates have lost five straight home games.

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The Keydets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Pirates are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southern, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 22-7 in Keydets last 29 overall. The over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 overall.

The VMI Keydets finished the season strong despite a disappointing record overall, and they return a lot of the key scorers from last season. The East Carolina Pirates have their top player returning and he'll be the best player on the floor in this game, but ECU has a ton of roster turnover and it usually takes time to adjust to all of the new faces. I usually like fading teams early in the season that have to replace so much production, as new guys hav to learn how to play together and figure out the pecking order. Give me VMI and the points.

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Randy’s Pick VMI Keydets +7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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