New Mexico (3-6) vs Washington State (7-1)
Game Info: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 9:30 pm (University Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: New Mexico +13.5 / Washington State -13.5 — Over/Under: 72.5
The Washington State Cougars and the New Mexico Lobos meet Saturday in college football action from University Stadium. Here’s a Washington State vs New Mexico prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Washington State vs New Mexico pick. We will examine:
The Washington State Cougars’ recent form and player performance
The New Mexico Lobos’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington State Cougars
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico Lobos
Recent betting trends in games played between Washington State and New Mexico
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Washington State vs New Mexico game
Washington State Cougars Betting Preview
The Cougars started out the season with wins over Portland State, Texas Tech, Washington, and San Jose State before their first loss to Boise State. Washington State would recover with wins over Fresno State, Hawaii, and San Diego State in the next trio.
In the Utah State matchup last weekend, the Cougars scored 14 points in each of the final three quarters during a 49-28 blowout victory. John Mateer finished with 179 yards and four scores. Wayshawn Parker added 11 carries for 149 yards and two TDs to pace the rush. Kyle Williams caught three scores among his five grabs for 55 yards.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
Over on the New Mexico side, they lost to Montana State, Arizona, Auburn, and Fresno State in their first quartet before a win over New Mexico State. The Lobos are 3-2 since then with wins over Air Force, Utah State, and San Diego State in their last five.
Back on Friday versus San Diego State, the Lobos posted 14 points in the first quarter along the way to a 21-16 win. Devon Dampier put up 175 pass yards and a score with 127 rushing yards tacked on. Eli Sanders managed 173 rush yards and two scores off 16 carries.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won seven of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at University Stadium.
- New Mexico has covered the spread in four of its last five home games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Washington State Cougars will win
- New Mexico has lost 28 of its last 30 games in November.
- Washington State has won 11 of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents.
- Washington State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of New Mexico’s last eight games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Washington State’s last three November games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
Washington State vs New Mexico Prediction
I might take a stab at New Mexico. The Lobos were a little spotty in their win over San Diego State last Friday but still got the win. New Mexico posted 300 rush yards among 475 total but went a tepid 5-of-11 on third-down tries. Defensively the Lobos gave up 26 first downs and 35:02 in time of possession but limited the damage on the scoreboard with just 3.9 yards per play.
As for Washington State, on Saturday they trounced a struggling Utah State team with 303 rushing yards (482 total), 28 first downs, and a 6-of-12 success rate on third-down tries. The defense came up with two takeaways and benefitted from 10 Aggies penalties. This weekend Washington State should be in control again, but if the Lobos can avoid mistakes I think they’ll have a reasonable cover shot.