| MATCHUP | Vanderbilt Commodores | Tennessee Volunteers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-2 | 8-3 |
| Spread | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | Over 66.5 (-105) | Under 66.5 (-115) |
| Where | Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN | |
| When | Saturday, November 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Tennessee Volunteers meet in week 14 college football action from Neyland Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers prediction.
Vanderbilt Commodores Recap
The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this game looking to add on to a 45-17 win over Kentucky last time out to sit at 9-2 this season.
Commodores Trying To Keep Playoff Hopes Alive
Diego Pavia has thrown for 2,924 yards, 26 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 71.8% passing while also leading Vanderbilt in rushing with 661 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Sedrick Alexander has 445 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns while Makhilyn Young has 395 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Eli Stowers leads Vanderbilt’s receiving group with 57 grabs for 705 yards and 4 touchdowns while Junior Sherrill has 43 catches for 585 yards and a team-high 7 touchdowns. Tre Richardson has 34 catches for 604 yards and 5 TDs and Richie Hoskins has 300 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Bryan Longwell has a team-high 61 total tackles while Miles Capers has a team-high 4.5 sacks as well this season. Martel Hight also has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Vanderbilt has combined for 25 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.
Tennessee Volunteers Recap
The Tennessee Volunteers come into this game looking to add on to their 31-11 win over Florida last time out to sit at 8-3 this season.
Volunteers Trying To Play Spoiler In Rivalry
Joey Aguilar has thrown for 3,145 yards, 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 67% passing while DeSean Bishop has rushed for a team-high 886 yards and 12 TDs and Star Thomas has 529 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Peyton Lewis also has 290 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns as well this season. Chris Brazzell II leads Tennessee in receiving with 56 catches for 926 yards and 8 touchdowns while Mike Matthews has 44 grabs for 712 yards and 4 TDs and Braylon Staley has 58 catches for 771 yards and 6 TDs as well. Miles Kitselman also has 25 catches for 250 yards and 2 TDs this season. On defense, Edwin Spillman has a team-high 72 total tackles while Dominic Bailey has a team-high 5.5 sacks. As a unit, Tennessee’s defense has combined for 35 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.
Vanderbilt Commodores @ Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends: Week 14
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last 12 games against teams from Tennessee.
- Vanderbilt has lost each of its last seven games against teams from Tennessee.
- The home team has covered the spread in five of Vanderbilt’s last six games.
- Tennessee has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- Vanderbilt has lost the first half in 21 of its last 27 road games against conference opponents.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Vanderbilt has won each of its last seven games in Tennessee.
- Tennessee has lost each of its last six November games against AP-ranked teams.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last six games between Vanderbilt and Tennessee.
- Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games against AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Tennessee’s last four games against teams from Tennessee have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last four games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
Tennessee Volunteers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Joey Aguilar ranks 9th amongst FBS players for passing yards (3145) this season.
Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts
- Diego Pavia has recorded 300+ passing yards in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 14.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.5).
- Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (25.5).
- Vanderbilt has scored 45+ points in five home games this season – most of any FBS team.
- Vanderbilt ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (10.4).
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction
I’m on Vanderbilt and the points here. All Diego Pavia does as an underdog is cover and I think he’s confident enough to lead Vanderbilt in this high pressure moment. I get why Tennessee’s favored at home in a rivalry matchup, but this is the kind of spot Pavia thrives in, and I think the Commodores snag the win and cover here. Give me Vandy and the points.