UTSA (4-4) vs South Florida (6-2)
November 6, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: South Florida -14 — Over/Under: +68.5
The UTSA Roadrunners and South Florida Bulls meet Thursday in college football action at Jones AT&T Stadium. Here’s a UTSA vs USF Prediction. This article will include a UTSA vs USF Pick.
The UTSA Roadrunners lost to North Texas, beat Tulane, and play Charlotte next. UTSA has split its last 8 games. Owen McCown is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 1,680 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Devin McCuin and AJ Wilson have combined for 795 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while David Amador II has 28 receptions.
The UTSA Roadrunners ground game is averaging 203.7 yards per contest, and Robert Henry Jr. leads the way with 955 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, UTSA is allowing 30.9 points and 459 yards per game. Shad Banks Jr. leads the UTSA Roadrunners with 51 tackles, Nnanna Anyanwu has 5 sacks and Davin Martin has 1 interception.
The South Florida Bulls lost ot Memphis, beat FAU, and play Navy next. The South Florida Bulls have won 4 of their last 5 games. Byrum Brown is completing 62.9 percent of his passes for 1,964 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Chas Nimrod and Keshaun Singleton combined for 917 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jeremiah Koger has 17 receptions.
The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 225.5 yards per contest, and Byrum Brown leads the way with 596 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 24.4 points and 387.3 yards per game. Mac Harris leads the South Florida Bulls with 69 tackles, Rico Watson III has 2 sacks and James Chenault has 2 interceptions.
USF is obviously the better, more talented team with one of the better offenses in the country, but double-digit chalk is risky on a weekday. Also, while UTSA doesn’t play a lick of defense, it’s an above average offensive side that’s 26th in total offense, and should be able to take advantage of a South Florida defense that’s 124th against the pass. UTSA has topped 40 points in 3 of its last 6 games. The Roadrunners don’t need oddsmakers help with a boatload of points. Give me UTSA and the free points.
UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview
The UTSA Roadrunners lost to North Texas, beat Tulane, and play Charlotte next. UTSA has split its last 8 games. Owen McCown is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 1,680 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Devin McCuin and AJ Wilson have combined for 795 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while David Amador II has 28 receptions.
The UTSA Roadrunners ground game is averaging 203.7 yards per contest, and Robert Henry Jr. leads the way with 955 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, UTSA is allowing 30.9 points and 459 yards per game. Shad Banks Jr. leads the UTSA Roadrunners with 51 tackles, Nnanna Anyanwu has 5 sacks and Davin Martin has 1 interception.
South Florida Bulls Betting Preview
The South Florida Bulls lost ot Memphis, beat FAU, and play Navy next. The South Florida Bulls have won 4 of their last 5 games. Byrum Brown is completing 62.9 percent of his passes for 1,964 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Chas Nimrod and Keshaun Singleton combined for 917 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jeremiah Koger has 17 receptions.
The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 225.5 yards per contest, and Byrum Brown leads the way with 596 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 24.4 points and 387.3 yards per game. Mac Harris leads the South Florida Bulls with 69 tackles, Rico Watson III has 2 sacks and James Chenault has 2 interceptions.
Why the South Florida Bulls will win
- South Florida has won each of its last eight games as a home favorite.
- UTSA has lost nine of its last 10 road games.
- UTSA has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
- South Florida has covered the spread in four of its last five home games.
Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win
- UTSA has won 16 of its last 17 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- South Florida has lost nine of its last 11 games against teams from Texas.
- UTSA has covered the spread in each of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of South Florida’s last 10 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of UTSA’s last four road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
South Florida Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Mac Harris leads the American Conference for forced fumbles (3) this season.
UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Robert Henry leads the American Conference for rushing yards (955) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- South Florida ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (12.9).
- South Florida ranks 3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+9.5).
- UTSA ranks 126th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (35.3).
- UTSA ranks 12th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.1).
UTSA vs USF Prediction
USF is obviously the better, more talented team with one of the better offenses in the country, but double-digit chalk is risky on a weekday. Also, while UTSA doesn’t play a lick of defense, it’s an above average offensive side that’s 26th in total offense, and should be able to take advantage of a South Florida defense that’s 124th against the pass. UTSA has topped 40 points in 3 of its last 6 games. The Roadrunners don’t need oddsmakers help with a boatload of points. Give me UTSA and the free points.