UTEP vs Missouri State Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Andrew Jett

4 hours ago

Sep 2, 2017; Columbia, MO, USA; Missouri State Bears cheerleaders entertain fans during the second half against the Missouri Tigers at Faurot Field. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Miners UTEP	Bears Missouri State
Team Records	2-7	6-3
Spread	+4.5 -110	-4.5 -110
Moneyline	+160	-192
Total	Over 49.5 (-115)	Under 49.5 (-105)
Where	Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO
When	Saturday, November 15, 2025
Time	03:00 PM EST
TV	ESPN+

The UTEP Miners and the Missouri State Bears meet Saturday in college football action from Robert W Plaster Stadium. Here’s a UTEP vs Missouri State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UTEP vs Missouri State pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

UTEP Miners Betting Preview

The Miners lost to Utah State to open up this season then took out TN-Martin in game two. The next four were all losses as UTEP fell to Texas, LA-Monroe, LA Tech and Liberty. The Miners were able to take out Sam Houston but then lost to Kennesaw State on October 28. In that one UTEP gave up points in every quarter on the way to a 33-20 finish. The Miners gained 295 yards with 4.0 yards per play and went just 2-of-16 on third-down tries in the road defeat.

In their latest matchup on Saturday versus Jacksonville State, UTEP faced a 20-13 deficit at the break. Despite scoring in every quarter, the Miners gave up 10 points in three different frames for a 30-27 loss at home. QB Skyler Locklear had a 16-of-32 line for 244 yards, two scores and a pick while also leading the rush on 17 carries for 82 yards and two more touchdowns. Tops in receiving was Wondame Davis with five grabs for 166 yards and a touchdown of his own in the home defeat.

Missouri State Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Bears’ side, they kicked things off on a 2-2 run with losses to USC and SMU amid wins over Marshall and TN-Martin. Missouri would go 3-1 over the next four, losing to Western Kentucky by five ahead of wins versus Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State and FIU in that time. In the win over the Panthers, Missouri State put up a touchdown in each quarter in a 27-21 victory. The Bears gained 369 yards on offense with 18 first downs and went 8-of-16 on third-down tries. Missouri State’s defense got a couple of fumble recoveries in the win as well.

Matched up against Liberty in a road game Saturday, the Bears faced a 10-0 deficit at the break. Missouri State stormed back on a 21-7 run the rest of the way, taking the win 21-17 in dramatic fashion. QB Jacob Clark finished with a 20-of-33 line for 286 yards and a pair of scores while lead rusher Shomari Lawrence had 13 totes for 48 yards. Tristian Gardner led the receivers in the win on 80 yards and a score from five catches.

UTEP Miners @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: Week 12

Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts

Heading into Week 12, Jacob Clark ranks 3rd in the Conference USA amongst qualified players for passer rating (95.7) this season.

UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts

Heading into Week 12, Noah Botsford ranks 15th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (46.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Missouri State ranks 123rd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (10.7).
Missouri State ranks T123rd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (32.5).
UTEP ranks 127th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (146).
UTEP ranks 125th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (8.4).

UTEP vs Missouri State Prediction

I’ll stick with the Bears. Missouri State started slowly in their latest win over Liberty this past weekend but finished with a flourish. The Bears ended up going just 5-of-11 on third downs but also managed 20 first downs with 332 yards total. Missouri State gave up 398 yards on the other side—including 202 rush yards—but also had a couple of takeaways on defense which were key in the victory. Oddly enough, it was the Bears’ lowest points total since hanging just 10 in a loss to SMU on September 13.

As for the Miners, they had a bad time on third downs (2-of-13) in their tight home loss to Jacksonville State over the weekend and couldn’t quite pull it off. UTEP has given up a total of 63 combined points in their last two games—both losses. That bodes well for Missouri State’s offense this weekend.