North Texas (5-2) vs Tulane (5-2)
Game Info: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 12:00 pm (DATCU Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: North Texas +7.5 / Tulane -7.5 — Over/Under:
The Tulane Green Wave and the North Texas Mean Green meet Saturday in college football action from Apogee Stadium. Here’s a Tulane vs North Texas prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Tulane vs North Texas pick. We will examine:
The Tulane Green Wave’s recent form and player performance
The North Texas Mean Green’s recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tulane Green Wave
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the North Texas Mean Green
Recent betting trends in games played between Tulane and North Texas
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Tulane vs North Texas game
Tulane Green Wave Betting Preview
Tulane beat Southeastern Louisiana in their opener this year, then fell to Kansas State and Oklahoma in the next pair. The Wave would hit a winning streak after that, however, beating Louisiana, South Florida, and UAB in a three-game stretch.
In the Rice matchup last weekend, the Wave posted a 14-3 second-half advantage in a 24-10 victory. Darian Mensah finished with 152 yards and a TD. Makhi Hughes led the rush with 140 yards and a score off 27 carries.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
Over on the North Texas side, they took out South Alabama and Stephen F. Austin in their first pair before a blowout loss to Texas Tech. The Mean Green would then beat Wyoming, Tulsa, and Florida Atlantic over the next three outings.
Matched up against Memphis, North Texas went into the fourth quarter trailing 35-31 and ultimately lost a tough one 52-44. Chandler Morris finished with 445 pass yards, three TDs, and an interception (with a rush score). DT Sheffield caught eight balls for 122 yards and two scores.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won each of its last four home games.
- North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last eight October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Tulane has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Tulane Green Wave will win
- Tulane has won 23 of its last 24 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- North Texas has lost three of its last four games in October.
- Tulane has covered the spread in 11 of its last 13 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- North Texas has lost the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Tulane’s last 10 October road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of North Texas’ last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Texas ranks 3rd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (22.1).
- North Texas ranks 3rd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (528.0).
- Tulane ranks 8th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (33:35).
- Tulane ranks 9th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.0).
Tulane vs North Texas Prediction
I’ll stay with North Texas. The Green took a tough loss against a good Memphis team over the weekend, but the offensive stats were good. North Texas posted 653 total yards (445 passing), 6.7 yards per play, and 32 first downs. The two turnovers didn’t help though, nor did the 12-of-26 rate on third- and fourth-down conversions.
As for Tulane, they registered five takeaways from Rice in their last game, holding the Owls to just 16 first downs and 5-of-13 on third-down conversions. Offensively the Wave were pretty well balanced on 306 yards (152 passing) but they really didn’t get going until late. It’ll be tough for Tulane to keep pace with North Texas if the Mean Green play to their capabilities.