Texas State vs Southern Mississippi Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and the Southern Miss Golden Eagles meet in week 12 college football action from M.M. Roberts Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction.

Texas State Bobcats Recap

The Texas State Bobcats come into this game looking to bounce back from a 42-39 loss at the hands of Louisiana last time out to slide to 3-6 this season. After this game, Texas State will head home for a game against Louisiana-Monroe.

Bobcats Drop 5 In A Row

Brad Jackson has thrown for 2,376 yards, 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 69.2% passing while Lincoln Pare leads the Bobcats in rushing with 737 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns so far this season. Jackson has 442 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns while Greg Burrell has 374 rushing yards and 3 TDs as well this season. Beau Sparks has a team-high 61 grabs for 927 yards and 7 touchdowns while Chris Dawn Jr. has 600 receiving yards. Kylen Evans also has 211 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Treylin Payne leads the Bobcats with 81 total tackles along with a pair of sacks while Kalil Alexander and DonTerry Russell each have a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, Texas State’s defense has combined for 19 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season. 

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Recap

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles come into this game looking to add on to their 27-21 win over Arkansas State last time out to sit at 7-2 this season. After this game, Southern Miss will head on the road for a game against South Alabama.

Golden Eagles Win 5 In A Row

Braylon Braxton has thrown for 2,187 yards, 19 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 67.3% passing while Jeffery Pittman has 494 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns on the ground to lead Southern Miss. Matt Jones also has 273 rushing yards with 4 TDs while Robert Briggs has 232 rushing yards as well on the year. Elijah Metcalf leads Southern Miss in receiving with 30 grabs for 425 yards, while Tychaun Chapman has 348 receiving yards with 2 TDs and Micah Davis has 330 receiving yards with a team-high 4 touchdowns. Carl Chester has 318 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns, while three more receivers for Southern Miss have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Chris Jones has a team-high 91 total tackles along with 3.5 sacks while Ian Foster has 3 interceptions and Michael Montgomery has a pair of INTs. Josh Moten has a team-high 5 interceptions while J’Mond Tapp has a team-high 4.5 sacks. As a unit, Southern Miss’ defense has combined for 22 sacks and 20 interceptions so far this season.

Texas State Bobcats @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

• Southern Miss has won each of its last 11 games as a favorite against teams from Texas.
• Texas State has lost each of its last four road games.
• Texas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games.
• Southern Miss has covered the spread in each of its last five games as a home favorite.
• Southern Miss has won the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• The underdog has won four of Texas State’s last five games.
• Southern Miss has lost six of its last seven games in November.
• Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games in November.
• Texas State has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games as a road underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas State’s last seven games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Southern Miss’ last four home games have gone OVER the total points line.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Josh Moten ranks T1st amongst FBS players for interceptions (5) this season.

Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Lincoln Pare ranks 1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Southern Miss ranks 1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (20).
• Southern Miss ranks 5th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (3.3).
• Texas State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Texas State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (3).

Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. Texas State’s defense has been horrendous for the most part during this losing stretch, but even in losses, we’ve seen Texas State be able to put some points and I think that’s going to be the script here as well. I think we’re getting some points in this game so give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 65.5