Florida (1-1) vs Texas A&M (1-1)
Game Info: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Florida +3.5 / Texas A&M -3.5 — Over/Under: 48.5
The Texas A&M Aggies and the Florida Gators meet Saturday in college football action from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Here’s a Texas A&M vs Florida prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas A&M vs Florida pick. We will examine:
The Texas A&M Aggies’ recent form and player performance
The Florida Gators’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas A&M Aggies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Florida Gators
Recent betting trends in games played between Texas A&M and Florida
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Texas A&M vs Florida game
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
The Aggies’ 2024 campaign began with a matchup against Notre Dame. Texas A&M hung around for most of the game but ultimately fell short 23-13. Connor Weigman had 100 yards with two picks, and Le’Veon Moss added 70 yards and a score off 20 carries.
In the McNeese State game last weekend, the Aggies went into the break with a 38-0 lead. Texas A&M put it on cruise control from there and won 52-10. Weigman had 125 yards and two scores this time, while Moss bagged 84 yards and two scores. Amari Daniels added 12 carries for 75 yards and two more TDs.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
Over on the Florida side, they opened up their year versus Miami. The Gators gave up points in every quarter in that one, resulting in a 41-17 loss. Graham Mertz posted 91 pass yards and an interception. Tops in rushing was Montrell Johnson with 106 yards and a TD off 11 totes.
Matched up against Samford in their latest outing, the Gators were up 14-0 going into the second half. Florida scored another 31 points from there for a 45-7 blowout victory. DJ Lagway tossed for 456 yards and three scores. Johnson led the rush again with 67 yards and two TDs off 15 totes.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won 28 of its last 30 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Texas A&M has lost three of its last four games.
- Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last three games between Texas A&M and Florida.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win
- Texas A&M has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has lost each of its last six games as an underdog.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Texas A&M has covered the spread in six of its last eight games in September.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Twelve of Texas A&M’s last 16 games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks T27th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (1.5).
- Florida ranks T27th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (19.0).
- Texas A&M ranks T29th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.5).
- Texas A&M ranks T29th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.5).
Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction
I’m leaning toward Texas A&M. Both teams are coming off sizable victories versus overmatched opponents, but this one should be pretty good. The Aggies notched 529 yards (333 rushing) and 29 first downs versus McNeese State last weekend. The defense was great too on 279 yards (99 passing) and 14 first downs allowed. Florida should be a good measuring stick on both sides of the ball.
Speaking of the Gators, they rolled through Samford with 632 total yards (466 passing) and 10.2 yards per play. Florida’s defense also notched some nice numbers with 205 yards (144 passing) and 15 first downs allowed. This weekend’s matchup should be much more competitive, and I like the Aggies to power out the cover.