TCU vs Cincinnati Prediction College Football Picks 11/30/24

The Cincinnati Bearcats and the TCU Horned Frogs battle in week 14 college football action from Nippert Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati vs. TCU prediction.

Cincinnati Recap

The Cincinnati Bearcats will be out to secure bowl eligibility after dropping to 5-6 with a 41-15 loss to Kansas State in their last game.

Bearcats Lose 4th Straight

Going into the Kansas State matchup, Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 2,453 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 66.3% passing while Corey Kiner has rushed for a team-high 903 yards with 3 TDs and Evan Pryor has 381 rushing yards and 6 TDs. Xzavier Henderson leads the Bearcats in receiving with 52 grabs for 632 yards and 4 touchdowns while Joe Royer has 477 receiving yards with 3 TDs. Tony Johnson has 35 grabs for 376 yards and 4 TDs and Jamoi Mayes has 267 receiving yards while three more Bearcats have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jared Bartlett has a team-high 55 total tackles with a team-high 7.5 sacks while Eric Phillips has 4 sacks and Josh Minkins has a pair of interceptions. As a unit, Cincinnati’s defense has combined for 21 sacks and 4 interceptions.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• The home team has won each of TCU’s last four games.
• TCU has lost each of its last three road games in November.
• TCU has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The home team has covered the spread in four of Cincinnati’s last five games.

TCU Recap

The TCU Horned Frogs will be out to build on their 49-28 win over Arizona to climb to 7-4 on the year.

Horned Frogs Out To Play Spoiler

Entering the TCU game, Josh Hoover has thrown for 3,233 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions on 67.7% passing while Cam Cook has rushed for 414 yards and 8 touchdowns. Jack Bech has a team-high 56 receptions for 982 receiving yards along with 9 touchdowns while Eric McAlister and Savion Williams each have 500+ receiving yards on the year with McAlister logging 552 yards and 4 touchdowns while Williams has 54 receptions, 580 yards, and 6 TDs. JP Richardson also has 523 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Johnny Hodges has a team-high 71 total tackles while Devean Deal has a team-high 4.5 sacks and Zachary Chapman has 3 sacks. As a unit, TCU has combined for 20 sacks and 6 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• TCU has won each of its last nine November games as a favorite.
• Cincinnati has lost seven of its last eight games in November.
• Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• TCU has covered the spread in each of its last four November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Cincinnati vs. TCU Prediction

I’m on the over. TCU has nothing to play for at this point, but that didn’t stop the Horned Frogs from racking up 49 points against a hapless Arizona defense last week. I expect some effort here from Cincinnati, but the Bearcats have allowed 31+ in each of the four games during this losing streak, averaging 35 PPG against. On the flip side, TCU’s defense has been vulnerable at times, and I think the Bearcats can put up some points here in an effort to save their season. Give me the over.