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South Florida vs North Texas Prediction 10/10/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Sep 20, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA;  South Florida Bulls quarterback Byrum Brown (17) before the game against the South Carolina State Bulldogs at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

Sep 20, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA; South Florida Bulls quarterback Byrum Brown (17) before the game against the South Carolina State Bulldogs at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

South Florida (4-1) vs North Texas (5-0)

October 10, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: North Texas +1.5 — Over/Under: +67.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The USF Bulls and the North Texas Mean Green meet in week 7 college football action from DATCU Stadium on Friday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a USF Bulls vs. North Texas Mean Green prediction.

USF Bulls Recap

The USF Bulls come into this game looking to add on to their 54-26 win over Charlotte last time out to improve to 4-1 on the year. After this game, USF will head home for a game against FAU.

Bulls Looking For Huge Conference Road Win

Byrum Brown has thrown for 1,194 yards, 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 61.3% passing while also leading USF in rushing with 282 rushing yards and 3 scores. Sam Franklin has 186 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns and Cartevious Norton’s added 166 rushing yards and 2 TDs as well while Chas Nimrod has a team-high 19 catches for 421 yards with 3 TDs and Keshaun Singleton has 240 receiving yards with 2 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Jhalyn Shuler has a team-high 46 total tackles including a team-high 24 solo tackles while Mac Harris has 42 total tackles including 4 sacks and De’Shawn Rucker has 27 total tackles including 20 solo tackles of his own. James Chenault and Jarvis Lee each have a pair of interceptions as well for the Bulls’ defense this season. 

North Texas Mean Green Recap

The North Texas Mean Green come into this game looking to build on a 36-22 win over South Alabama last time out to sit at 5-0 this season. After this game, North Texas will take on UTSA in a matchup at home.

Mean Green Looking To Stay Unbeaten

Drew Mestemaker has thrown for 1,247 yards and 11 touchdowns on 67.9% passing while Makenzie McGill II has 318 rushing yards and 4 TDs to lead the Mean Green on the ground and Caleb Hawkins has 307 rushing yards with 7 TDs. Miles Coleman leads the Mean Green with 23 receptions for 219 yards while Wyatt Young has 215 receiving yards with 3 TDs and Cameron Dorner has 203 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns. Four more Mean Green receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Shane Whitter has a team-high 48 total tackles including 23 solo tackles and an interception while Keviyan Huddleston also has a team-high 2.5 sacks. Ethan Day also has 2 sacks this season. As a unit, North Texas’ defense has combined for 10 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

South Florida Bulls @ North Texas Mean Green Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

  • South Florida has lost each of its last six games in Texas.
  • North Texas has won each of its last five games.
  • North Texas has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 October games as an underdog.
  • South Florida has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in Texas.
  • North Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
  • South Florida has lost the first half in six of its last seven road games against conference opponents.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

  • North Texas has lost each of its last 12 games as an underdog in Texas.
  • The favorite has won 17 of North Texas’ last 18 games at DATCU Stadium.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in seven of North Texas’ last eight games at DATCU Stadium.
  • North Texas has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
  • South Florida has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of South Florida’s last eight games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of North Texas’ last four games against teams from Florida have gone OVER the total points line.

North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Caleb Hawkins leads the American Conference for rushing touchdowns (7) this season.

South Florida Bulls Player Prop Facts

  • Byrum Brown has thrown three or more touchdown passes in two consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.

Matchup/League Facts

  • North Texas has played in the equal-highest number of games that went to overtime this season (2).
  • North Texas ranks T7th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (25.6).
  • South Florida has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
  • South Florida has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (3).

USF Bulls vs. North Texas Mean Green Prediction

I’m on the over here. I think this is going to be a track meet between two of the strongest offensive units that not just the AAC but the group of 5 have to offer as I think these are two of the front-runners to represent the G5 in the college football playoff. This has potential to be one of the games of the week and I think we’re going to have a fun one that ends up hitting hte over. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 67.5

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