South Florida vs Navy Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

4 hours ago

Nov 8, 2025; South Bend, Indiana, USA; Navy Midshipmen quarterback Braxton Woodson (5) gets stopped by the Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense during the second half at Notre Dame Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael Caterina-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	South Florida Bulls	Navy Midshipmen
Team Records	7-2	7-2
Spread	-10 -112	+10 -108
Moneyline	-375	+295
Total	Over 64.5 (-115)	Under 64.5 (-105)
Where	Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
When	Saturday, November 15, 2025
Time	12:00 PM EST
TV	ESPN2

In this article, we will formulate a USF vs Navy Prediction for this College Football Week 12 game on Saturday, November 15th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Navy Midshipmen Preview

Navy has a 7-2 record this season and is sitting 1st in the AAC. They are 2-7 ATS, 7-2 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 2-2 away record. Navy is coming off a 10-49 road loss against Notre Dame and will face Memphis next.

Offensively, Navy averages 32.0 points per game, ranking 49th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.8 points per game, which is 88th. Navy averages 439.8 total yards per game (134.9 passing and 304.9 rushing), while allowing 393.6 total yards per game (139.9 rushing and 253.7 passing).

Blake Horvath leads Navy with 1,143 passing yards with 63.6% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Blake Horvath leads the team in rushing yards with 926, while Eli Heidenreich has a team-high 33 receptions for 595 receiving yards. Defensively, MarcAnthony Parker has a team-high 70 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Landon Robinson leads the team in sacks, with 5.5, and MarcAnthony Parker, Coleman Cauley, Phillip Hamilton, Justin Ross have a team-high 1 interception each.

South Florida Bulls Preview

South Florida has a 7-2 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the AAC. They are 7-2 ATS, 6-3 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 2-2 away record. South Florida is coming off a 55-23 home win against UTSA and will face UAB next.

Offensively, South Florida averages 42.0 points per game, ranking 5th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.2 points per game, which is 69th. South Florida averages 485.2 total yards per game (258.3 passing and 226.9 rushing), while allowing 386.6 total yards per game (110.1 rushing and 276.4 passing).

Byrum Brown leads South Florida with 2,203 passing yards with 64.6% completed passes and 19 touchdowns. Byrum Brown leads the team in rushing yards with 705, while Keshaun Singleton has a team-high 33 receptions for 573 receiving yards. Defensively, Mac Harris has a team-high 75 total tackles (39 of them solo), while Mac Harris leads the team in sacks, with 6, and Jarvis Lee has a team-high 2 interceptions.

South Florida Bulls @ Navy Midshipmen Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

Navy has won 12 of its last 13 games in Maryland.
South Florida has lost 13 of its last 15 road games in November.
Navy has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
The team ranked 25th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
Navy has won the first quarter in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
Navy has won the first half in eight of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

The favorite has won each of Navy’s last 10 games.
Navy has lost each of its last five games against AP-ranked teams at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games.
South Florida has covered the spread in four of its last five November games as a favorite.
South Florida has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
South Florida has won the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

Each of Navy’s last seven games against AP-ranked teams at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of South Florida’s last seven road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts

Blake Horvath has recorded 100+ rushing yards in six consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 12.

South Florida Bulls Player Prop Facts

Heading into Week 12, Byrum Brown is one of only five players in the FBS to record 2,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Navy has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
Navy ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (304.9).
South Florida has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (5).
South Florida ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (12.6).

USF vs Navy Prediction

In this USF vs Navy Prediction, USF is coming as -10.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 64.5 points. Both teams have identical overall records this season and Navy has been undefeated at home, but are terrible against the spread, with a 2-7 record. USF is better both offensively and defensively, having the 5th-best offense in the country and winning by an average of 17.8 points per game, so I expect them to dominate this game. Take USF and lay the -10.5 points on the road.