South Alabama (1-4) vs Troy (2-2)
October 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Troy -1.5 — Over/Under: +47.5
The South Alabama Jaguars and the Troy Trojans meet in week 6 college football action from Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans prediction.
South Alabama Jaguars Recap
The South Alabama Jaguars come into this game looking to bounce back from their 36-22 loss at the hands of North Texas last time out to sit at 1-4 this season. After this game, South Alabama will head home for a game against Arkansas State.
Jaguars Drop 4th In A Row
Bishop Davenport has thrown for 959 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 64.2% passing while Kentrel Bullock has rushed for a team-high 410 yards and 5 touchdowns so far this season. Keenan Phillips and PJ Martin each have 200+ rushing yards this season while Devin Voisin has a team-high 457 receiving yards on 32 receptions with 4 touchdowns while Anthony Eager has 155 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Christopher Wallace Jr. has a team-high 35 total tackles with a team-high 20 solo tackles while Tyler Thomas has a pair of sacks. The Jaguars as a unit have combined for 7 sacks and an interception so far this season.
Troy Trojans Recap
The Troy Trojans come into this game looking to build on their 21-17 win over Buffalo last time out prior to their bye week to improve to 2-2 this season. After this game, Troy will head on the road for a game against Texas State.
Trojans Snap Two-Game Slide
Goose Crowder has thrown for 374 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 60.3% passing while Tucker Kilcrease has thrown for 213 yards, a touchdown and an interception on 45.3% passing. Tae Meadows has a team-high 337 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns while Roman Mothershed has 13 catches for 142 yards and a touchdown. Rara Thomas and Tray Taylor each have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jordan Stringer has a team-high 34 total tackles while Donnie Smith and Jah-Mal Williams each have a pair of sacks. As a unit, Troy has combined for 8 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
South Alabama Jaguars @ Troy Trojans Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- South Alabama has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog in Alabama.
- Troy has won seven of its last eight games against teams from Alabama.
- South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog against teams from Alabama.
- Troy has covered the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite against South Alabama.
- Troy has won the first half in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win
- South Alabama has won three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of Troy’s last four games.
- South Alabama has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of South Alabama’s last seven games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of Troy’s last nine games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Evan Crenshaw ranks 6th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.0) this season.
South Alabama Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Kentrel Bullock leads the Sun Belt Conference for touchdowns (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (0.8).
- Troy ranks T132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-7.0).
- South Alabama ranks 135th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (87.5).
- South Alabama ranks 125th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (198.8).
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans Prediction
I’m on Troy here. I know it feels like it could be a buy low spot for South Alabama, who hasn’t looked good as of late, but until the Jaguars get back on track defensively I have a hard time giving South Alabama the benefit of the doubt. The Jaguars have really had issues, giving up 30+ points in four straight games, and I just think that the Trojans are the better team defensively which will be the difference here. Give me the Trojans here.