Illinois (4-1) vs Purdue (1-4)
Game Info: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Illinois -19.5 / Purdue +19.5 — Over/Under: 49.5
The Purdue Boilermakers and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Purdue vs Illinois Prediction. This article will include a Purdue vs Illinois Pick.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers lost to Nebraska and Wisconsin, and they play Oregon next. The Purdue Boilermakers have lost 6 straight road games. Hudson Card is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 738 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Max Klare and Jahmal Edrine have combined for 322 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jaron Tibbs has 11 receptions.
The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 139.6 yards per contest, and Devin Mockobee leads the way with 362 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 36.8 points and 434.2 yards per game. Dillon Thieneman leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 42 tackles, Kydran Jenkins has 3.5 tackles and Kyndrich Breedlove has 2 interceptions.
Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview
The Illinois Fighting Illini beat Nebraska, lost to Penn State, and they play Michigan next. Illinois has won 3 straight home games. Luke Altmyer is completing 70 percent of his passes for 1,047 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Pat Bryant and Zakhari Franklin have combined for 634 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Collin Dixon has 5 receptions.
The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 132 yards per contest, and Kaden Feagin leads the way with 306 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 14.2 points and 310.2 yards per game. Matthew Bailey leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 32 tackles, Gabe Jacas has 3 sacks and Xavier Scott has 3 interceptions.
Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win
- Purdue has lost each of its last five games in October.
- The home team has won eight of Purdue’s last 10 games.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of Purdue’s last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Purdue’s last five October games against AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Illinois’ last four October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Illinois ranks T16th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (2.8).
- Illinois ranks T20th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (4.0).
- Purdue ranks 132nd among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (239.2).
- Purdue ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.8).
Purdue vs Illinois Prediction
The Purdue Boilermakers just have zero betting value as they’re getting their heads bashed in week to week, and they’ve failed to cover their last 4 games. Purdue is also 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games as a double-digit underdog. The Illinois Fighting Illini have played great ball through 5 games, and that one loss was a competitive road game against Penn State. Purdue is 9-4-2 ATS in its last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. Purdue isn’t good, and I have little interest in getting behind this squad. Give me Illinois in a home beatdown.