| MATCHUP | Oregon Ducks | Indiana Hoosiers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 13-1 | 14-0 |
| Spread | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +150 | -180 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-108) | Under 47.5 (-112) |
| Where | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA | |
| When | Friday, January 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
Oregon opened the season with five straight wins, taking out Montana State, Oklahoma State, Northwestern, Oregon State and Penn State. After their lone loss of the year versus Indiana on October 11, the Ducks closed out the regular season with wins over Rutgers, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, USC and Washington for an 11-1 overall record. The First Round of the CFP was a 51-34 win over James Madison to keep it going.
Back on New Year’s Day versus Texas Tech, Oregon came out of the first half with a slim 6-0 lead. The Ducks scored another 17 points from there, managing to hit the scoreboard in every quarter along the way to a 23-0 shutout victory. QB Dante Moore finished with 234 yards and a pick on 26-of-33 passing, but Jordon Davison did most of the scoring on the ground with two touchdowns and 42 yards off 15 carries. Jamari Johnson led the team in receiving with four grabs for 66 yards.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
Over on the Indiana side, they were able to get through the regular season without a blemish. The Hoosiers took out Old Dominion, Kennesaw State, Indiana State, Illinois, Iowa, Oregon, Michigan State, UCLA, Maryland, Penn State, Wisconsin, Purdue and Ohio State for a nice 13-0 run. Indiana kept it going in the Rose Bowl versus Alabama with another victory.
In their CFP matchup versus Alabama on New Year’s Day, the Hoosiers started a bit slowly but eventually built up a 17-0 first-half lead. Indiana added another three touchdowns in the second half, rolling to a 38-3 victory in the end. Fernando Mendoza logged a 14-of-16 line for 192 yards and three scores while Kaelon Black had 99 yards and a TD off 15 carries. Tops in receiving was Charlie Becker with two catches for 51 yards and a score in the winning effort.
Oregon Ducks @ Indiana Hoosiers Betting Trends: College Football Playoff Semi-finals
Indiana Hoosiers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into the bowl games, Fernando Mendoza ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (130.7) this season.
Oregon Ducks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into the bowl games, Dante Moore ranks T10th amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (28) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Indiana has recorded the most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
- Indiana has recorded the largest margin of victory in a road game this season (53-points vs Purdue on November 28, 2025).
- Oregon has won the second quarter in each of its last eight games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Oregon ranks T2nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.8).
Oregon vs Indiana Prediction
I’ll stick with Indiana, but this is sure to be an interesting matchup regardless. The Hoosiers dispatched a good Alabama team in the Rose Bowl thanks to a strong second half. Indiana ended up with 407 total yards, 215 pass yards, 6.2 yards per play, 22 first downs, a nice 9-of-14 on third-down tries, one penalty and zero turnovers. On defense Indiana held the Tide to just 193 yards, 23 rush yards, 11 first downs and 3-of-11 on third-down tries.
As for Oregon, they notched 309 yards against Texas Tech, posting 15 first downs and 4-of-19 on third-down tries. The defense carried the day though, giving up just 10 first downs and 6-of-16 on third downs alongside four takeaways.
These teams last saw each other back on October 11 in a 30-20 victory for the Hoosiers at Autzen Stadium. Indiana’s defense had two interceptions while allowing just 267 yards, 14 first downs and 3-of-14 on third-down conversion attempts. If the Hoosiers can replicate that—and if the offense can get a little better on third downs themselves (5-of-14)—I think Indiana will be in good shape down the stretch.