Ohio vs Ball State Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

David Racey

3 weeks ago

Sep 6, 2025; Athens, Ohio, USA; Ohio Bobcats running back Sieh Bangura (5) runs the ball during the third quarter against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Peden Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ben Queen-Imagn Images

Ohio (3-2) vs Ball State (1-3)

October 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Ball State +14 — Over/Under: +51.5

In this article we will formulate an Ohio vs Ball State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 4th at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup.

Ohio Bobcats Betting Preview

The Ohio Bobcats are 3-2 (1-0) this year after they defeated Bowling Green by a score of 35-20 last week. Ohio led 21-13 at halftime and added 14 more points in the second half for the win and cover. The Bobcats out gained Bowling Green by a total of 446-350, went 4-10 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 4-3 in the game. Parker Navarro went 17-25 for 208 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Sieh Bangura rushed 18 times for 115 yards. Mason Williams led the Ohio receivers with eight catches for 93 yards and one score in the win. The Ohio defense recorded five sacks and nine tackles for loss in the game.

In their first four games, Ohio lost to Rutgers and Ohio State, but did beat West Virginia and Gardner-Webb. The Bobcats are averaging 31.2 points per game with 219.4 passing yards and 200.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 27.2 points against per game this season. Parker Navarro has completed 66.1% of his passes for 1,078 yards, eight touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Chase Hendricks has 29 receptions for 481 yards and four scores. Sieh Bangura has led the rushing attack with 414 yards and four touchdowns on 84 carries this year.

Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview

The Ball State Cardinals are 1-3 (0-0) this season after they lost to Connecticut by a score of 31-25 in their last game. Ball State trailed 10-7 at halftime and allowed 21 points in the second half in the loss. The Cardinals were out gained by a total of 407-404, went 4-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Kiael Kelly went 17-24 for 209 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Qua Ashley carried the ball 18 times for 86 yards and one score. Donovan Hamilton led the Ball State receivers with seven receptions for 61 yards in the loss. The Ball State defense recorded zero sacks and two tackles for loss in the game.

In their first three games, Ball State lost to Purdue and Auburn, but did beat New Hampshire in their third game. The Cardinals are averaging 18.5 points per game with 122.8 passing yards and 149.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 33.3 points against per game this season. Kiael Kelly has completed 64.8% of his passes for 472 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Eric Weatherly has caught nine passes for 100 yards. Qua Ashley has rushed for 295 yards and three scores on 52 carries this season.

Why Ohio will beat Ball State

Ohio has won each of its last 14 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Ball State has lost each of its last nine games as an underdog against teams from Ohio.
Ohio has covered the spread in each of its last five games against Ball State.

Total Points Facts

Each of Ohio’s last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Six of Ball State’s last seven games as a home underdog against teams from Ohio have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Ball State ranks 135th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-9.5).
Ball State ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (13.0).
Ohio ranks T115th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.2).
Ohio ranks T115th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (8.2).