North Texas vs UAB Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a North Texas vs UAB Prediction for this College Football Week 12 game on Saturday, November 15th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

UAB Blazers Preview

UAB has a 3-6 record this season and is sitting 12th in the AAC. They are 3-6 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-5 away record. UAB is coming off a 17-24 road loss against Rice and will face South Florida and Tulsa next.

Offensively, UAB averages 27.1 points per game, ranking 73rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 37.1 points per game, which is 132nd. UAB averages 399.6 total yards per game (275.8 passing and 123.8 rushing), while allowing 408.1 total yards per game (188.4 rushing and 219.7 passing).

Jalen Kitna leads UAB with 1,785 passing yards with 68.5% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Jevon Jackson leads the team in rushing yards with 592, while Iverson Hooks has a team-high 51 receptions for 677 receiving yards. Defensively, Devin Hightower has a team-high 64 total tackles (32 of them solo), while Chris Burge leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, and Pierre Royster has a team-high 2 interceptions.

North Texas Mean Green Preview

North Texas has a 8-1 record this season and is sitting 4th in the AAC. They are 7-2 ATS, 6-3 in Over/Under and have a 5-1 home record and a 3-0 away record. North Texas is coming off a 31-17 home win against Navy and will face UAB and Rice next.

Offensively, North Texas averages 44.4 points per game, ranking 2nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.1 points per game, which is 66th. North Texas averages 487.8 total yards per game (308.3 passing and 179.4 rushing), while allowing 364.4 total yards per game (204.1 rushing and 160.3 passing).

Drew Mestemaker leads North Texas with 2,702 passing yards with 69.0% completed passes and 21 touchdowns. Caleb Hawkins leads the team in rushing yards with 744, while Wyatt Young has a team-high 40 receptions for 638 receiving yards. Defensively, Trey Fields has a team-high 67 total tackles (32 of them solo), while Keviyan Huddleston leads the team in sacks, with 4, and Quinton Hammonds, Kollin Lewis have a team-high 2 interceptions each.

North Texas Mean Green @ UAB Blazers Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the UAB Blazers will win

• The home team has won 11 of UAB’s last 12 games.
• North Texas has lost three of its last four games in Alabama.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of UAB’s last four games.
• North Texas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games in November.
• UAB has won the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

• North Texas has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UAB has lost 15 of its last 16 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UAB has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• North Texas has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of UAB’s last nine home games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of North Texas’ last eight November games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

UAB Blazers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Solomon Beebe ranks 9th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (428) this season.

North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Caleb Hawkins ranks T4th amongst FBS players for touchdowns (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• UAB has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• UAB ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (11.2).
• North Texas ranks 2nd among FBS teams for points per game this season (44.4).
• North Texas is one of two FBS teams to score 30+ points in every game this season.

North Texas vs UAB Prediction

In this North Texas vs UAB Prediction, North Texas is coming as -18.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 69.5 points. North Texas is the better team in this matchup as they have won 8 of their 9 games this season and are very effective against the spread, with a 7-2 record. UAB has been terrible lately with a 1-5 record in its last 6 games and have the 5th-worst defense in the country, going up against North Texas’ second-best offense. I expect the guests to dominate this game, so take North Texas and lay the -18.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: North Texas -18.5