| MATCHUP | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Runnin Rebels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| Where | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Saturday, November 1, 2025 | |
| Time | 03:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | MWN | |
In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico vs UNLV Prediction for this College Football Week 10 game on Saturday, November 1st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
UNLV Rebels Preview
UNLV has a 6-1 record this season and is sitting 4th in the Mountain West. They are 4-3 ATS, 4-3 in Over/Under and have a 3-0 home record and a 3-1 away record. UNLV is coming off a 31-56 road loss against Boise State and will face Colorado State, Utah State and Hawaii next.
Offensively, UNLV averages 37.1 points per game, ranking 17th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 33.4 points per game, which is 125th. UNLV averages 447.1 total yards per game (238.7 passing and 208.4 rushing), while allowing 461.1 total yards per game (204.7 rushing and 256.4 passing).
Anthony Colandrea leads UNLV with 1,618 passing yards with 66.8% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas leads the team in rushing yards with 615, while Jaden Bradley has a team-high 29 receptions for 528 receiving yards. Defensively, Marsel McDuffie has a team-high 51 total tackles (25 of them solo), while Tunmise Adeleye leads the team in sacks, with 2.0, and Aamaris Brown has a team-high 4 interceptions.
New Mexico Lobos Preview
New Mexico has a 5-3 record this season and is sitting 5th in the Mountain West. They are 4-4 ATS, 4-4 in Over/Under and have a 4-0 home record and a 1-3 away record. New Mexico is coming off a 33-14 home win against Utah State and will face Colorado State, Air Force and San Diego State next.
Offensively, New Mexico averages 29.0 points per game, ranking 68th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.8 points per game, which is 76th. New Mexico averages 371.3 total yards per game (214.4 passing and 156.9 rushing), while allowing 363.5 total yards per game (119.6 rushing and 243.9 passing).
Jack Layne leads New Mexico with 1,598 passing yards with 67.4% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Damon Bankston leads the team in rushing yards with 410, while Dorian Thomas has a team-high 39 receptions for 423 receiving yards. Defensively, Jaxton Eck has a team-high 82 total tackles (45 of them solo), while Keyshawn James-Newby leads the team in sacks, with 4.5. Tavian Combs, CJ McBean, David Murphy and Xavier Slayton have a team-high one interception.
New Mexico Lobos @ UNLV Rebels Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
- UNLV has won each of its last 12 games as a favorite.
- New Mexico has lost 27 of its last 29 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in 15 of its last 18 road games in November.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of New Mexico’s last five games.
- UNLV has won the first quarter in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
- New Mexico has lost the first half in 11 of its last 12 road games against conference opponents.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won three of its last four November games as an underdog.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last seven games between New Mexico and UNLV.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- UNLV has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of New Mexico’s last nine November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last five games between New Mexico and UNLV have gone OVER the total points line.
UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Aamaris Brown is the only player to record at least one interception in four consecutive appearances this season.
New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Scottre Humphrey leads New Mexico for touchdowns (6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UNLV has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
- UNLV is one of two FBS teams to score 30+ points in every game this season.
- New Mexico ranks T22nd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+3.6).
- New Mexico is one of only 24 FBS teams undefeated in home games this season (4-0).
New Mexico vs UNLV Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, UNLV won 56-14 on the road and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against New Mexico. Their last five meetings have gone over the total.
In this New Mexico vs UNLV Prediction, UNLV is coming as -5-point home favorites, with the total set at 62 points. UNLV has been almost perfect this season with just one loss in seven games played and has been undefeated in its three home games. On the flip side, New Mexico has been bad on the road and are up against the 17th-best offense of the country. The value here lies with the home team, so take UNLV and lay the -5 points.