New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 13th at Joe Aillet Stadium in Ruston, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 3 matchup. 

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies are 2-0 (0-0) this year after they defeated Tulsa by a score of 21-14 last week. New Mexico State led 3-0 after the first quarter and that was the same score at halftime. The Aggies did have their lead cut to 14-13 in the fourth, but they added a touchdown to add some insurance for the win. New Mexico State was out gained by a total of 376-291, went 10-19 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1. Logan Fife went 28-45 for 248 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 28 yards on 12 carries. Dijon Stanley rushed five times for eight yards, while Donovan Faupel caught eight passes for 78 yards and one score in the win. 

New Mexico State defeated Bryant by a score of 19-3 in week one to start the season. The Aggies are averaging 20.0 points per game with 239.5 passing yards and 58.5 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 8.5 points against per game this year. Logan Fife has completed 54.7% of his passes for 475 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Donovan Faupel has caught 13 passes for 177 yards and one score. Kadarius Calloway has rushed for 47 yards and one touchdown on 17 carries to lead the rushing attack. 

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 1-1 this season after they lost to LSU by a score of 23-7 in their last game. Louisiana Tech trailed 7-0 after the first quarter and 10-0 at halftime. The Bulldogs did get on the board in the fourth quarter, but it was too little too late. La Tech was out gained by a total of 365-154, went 3-13 on third down conversions, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the loss. Trey Kukuk went 12-18 for 50 yards, while Blake Baker went 3-8 for 46 yards and one touchdown. Clay Thevenin rushed seven times for 22 yards, while Devin Gandy caught one pass for 33 yards and one score in the game. 

Louisiana Tech started the 2025 season with a 24-0 win over SE Louisiana in week one. The Bulldogs are averaging 15.5 points per game with 113 passing yards and 95 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 11.5 points against per game this year. Trey Kukuk has completed 70.3% of his passes for 180 yards and one touchdown, while Eli Finley has caught eight passes for 77 yards. Clay Thevenin has led the rushing attack with 83 yards and one touchdown on 13 carries this season. 

Why Louisiana Tech will beat New Mexico State

New Mexico State has lost each of its last nine road openers as an underdog.
Louisiana Tech has won four of its last five games at Origin Bank Field at Joe Aillet Stadium.
Louisiana Tech has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road openers as an underdog.

Why New Mexico State will beat Louisiana Tech

The underdog has won three of New Mexico State’s last four games.
Louisiana Tech has lost three of its last four September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
The underdog has covered the spread in seven of New Mexico State’s last eight games.
Louisiana Tech has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

Each of Louisiana Tech’s last four games in Louisiana have gone UNDER the total points line.
Six of New Mexico State’s last seven games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Louisiana Tech ranks 133rd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (208.0).
Louisiana Tech ranks 132nd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (22).
New Mexico State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
New Mexico State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (58.5).

David Racey is 20-15 (57%) in College Football this season. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech Prediction 

New Mexico State hasn’t played the best competition to start the season, but they are 2-0 and have to be feeling good. The Aggies barely got by Tulsa last week, but that is still a win over an AAC team. Louisiana Tech struggled to pull away from SE Louisiana in their first game, but they battled LSU very hard last week. Neither one of these offenses have looked very good through two games, so I don’t have much faith in a high scoring game here. Take the under in this contest.